Seems to show that they push all the value in other products and split the booster pack boxes to Set-Boosters and all other kind of packs with different extra cards and "The List".
Value of the set is incredible crushed.
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The set isnt even bad, but WotC missed the "value" train so hard, this set might be a massive money grave for a lot of big buyers.
Probably explains why most of the "value" has already gone toward Pokémon TCG mostly due to the fact that Standard is only being played on Arena or in ill-advised, non-sanctioned underground Paper Magic tournaments. If the only place a player can compete is online (aside from playing In-Person Casual EDH / Commander at their LGS) then there's really little to no incentive to collect playsets of cards for the Standard format. In return it limits the Paper Magic Sealed product customer base solely to collectors, investors, and Casual EDH / Commander players, thus impacting sales.
As you pointed out earlier, another issue is the Kaldheim product itself in that it boasts only four cards with different titles that can be pulled from a Draft Booster Box which are worth more than $10 on the Singles Market (excluding foil versions of these cards). The Expected Value (EV) of Kaldheim is lacking but that's only because players are buying less booster boxes as a result. One issue I do have with "The List" when it comes to Collectors Edition boosters is that the pull rates for valuable reprints are atrocious. Why not add the reprints as If you were guaranteed two rares a booster pack like in Double Masters?
What Wizards of the Coast is doing instead is creating artificial scarcity to increase the price of these reprints for when they design a new Secret Lair for them in order to make money directly off the Secondary Market. At least Mystery Booster was a home run because you were guaranteed reprints in every pack but in Collectors Edition boosters for new Standard sets? Not so much I'm afraid especially when the reprints are sometimes foil by default. I'm not sure If Tolarian Community College has already gone over this or not but It'd make for good discussion IMO.
"Restriction breeds creativity." - Sheldon Menery on EDH / Commander in Magic: The Gathering
"Cancel Culture is the real reason why everyone's not allowed to have nice things anymore." - Anonymous
"For what will it profit a man if he gains the whole world, and loses his own soul?" - Mark 8:36
"Most men and women will grow up to love their servitude and will never dream of revolution." - Aldous Huxley, Brave New World
"Every life decision is always a risk / reward proposition." - Sanjay Gupta
Personally, I'd expect Time Spiral to do decently well (the original cycle had a number of good cards other than Goyf like Damnation, simian spirit guide, Dryad Arbor, Tolaria West, the cycle of cost-less suspend cards, a couple of the 0-cost pacts, Gemstone Caverns, vesuva, urborg, tomb of yawgmoth, angel's grace... They have enough there for the start of a good reprint set and those time-regressed cards may also be worth something (especially if they put in a couple of $20-50 reprints in that slot).
Modern Horizons 2 should also do pretty well. I mean, if nothing else, there's fetches.
Buy a box, wait five years, and have made more than your money back in value. This is true of all but the worst sets. Birgi, God of Storytelling isn't a 20$ card. Yet.
Yes, the value is not there for buying a booster box of Kaldheim. One of my friends I was talking to said that you're paying $95 for the box and maybe getting $50 of value out of it. That's bad. I'm sure in a year from now the set value will go up. But if no ones buying the boxes. No ones playing standard then it might take longer than that.
Wizards of the Coast is dedicating so much of their design philosophy toward EDH / Commander that it's becoming a major detriment toward Standard and other competitive formats at least from a power creep perspective. Why do you think they just now decided to ban Uro, Titan of Nature's Wrath in Pioneer, Modern, and hopefully Tibalt's Trickery in Modern? They could've banned one of these cards a long time ago but waited until they've made enough money off of them via sealed product sales.
They can't expect to always make a home run with new land cycles selling Standard sets when they've backed themselves into a corner with one or two Mythics being the overall Expected Value (EV) of the sets themselves. Uro, Titan of Nature's Wrath was the ONLY reason why sealed product for Theros Beyond Death was able to be sold. It only proves that Wizards of the Coast only thinks short-term rather than long-term as the ongoing pandemic has given them a free pass to sacrifice competitive formats for EDH / Commander with little to no consequence involved.
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America Bless Christ Jesus
"Restriction breeds creativity." - Sheldon Menery on EDH / Commander in Magic: The Gathering
"Cancel Culture is the real reason why everyone's not allowed to have nice things anymore." - Anonymous
"For what will it profit a man if he gains the whole world, and loses his own soul?" - Mark 8:36
"Most men and women will grow up to love their servitude and will never dream of revolution." - Aldous Huxley, Brave New World
"Every life decision is always a risk / reward proposition." - Sanjay Gupta
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Value of the set is incredible crushed.
----
The set isnt even bad, but WotC missed the "value" train so hard, this set might be a massive money grave for a lot of big buyers.
WUBRG#BlackLotusMatterWUBRG
👮👮👮 #BlueLivesMatter 👮👮👮
As you pointed out earlier, another issue is the Kaldheim product itself in that it boasts only four cards with different titles that can be pulled from a Draft Booster Box which are worth more than $10 on the Singles Market (excluding foil versions of these cards). The Expected Value (EV) of Kaldheim is lacking but that's only because players are buying less booster boxes as a result. One issue I do have with "The List" when it comes to Collectors Edition boosters is that the pull rates for valuable reprints are atrocious. Why not add the reprints as If you were guaranteed two rares a booster pack like in Double Masters?
What Wizards of the Coast is doing instead is creating artificial scarcity to increase the price of these reprints for when they design a new Secret Lair for them in order to make money directly off the Secondary Market. At least Mystery Booster was a home run because you were guaranteed reprints in every pack but in Collectors Edition boosters for new Standard sets? Not so much I'm afraid especially when the reprints are sometimes foil by default. I'm not sure If Tolarian Community College has already gone over this or not but It'd make for good discussion IMO.
"Restriction breeds creativity." - Sheldon Menery on EDH / Commander in Magic: The Gathering
"Cancel Culture is the real reason why everyone's not allowed to have nice things anymore." - Anonymous
"For what will it profit a man if he gains the whole world, and loses his own soul?" - Mark 8:36
"Most men and women will grow up to love their servitude and will never dream of revolution." - Aldous Huxley, Brave New World
"Every life decision is always a risk / reward proposition." - Sanjay Gupta
Modern Horizons 2 should also do pretty well. I mean, if nothing else, there's fetches.
Low-power cube enthusiast!
My 1570 card cube (no longer updated)
My 415 Peasant+ Artifact and Enchantment Cube
Ever-Expanding "Just throw it in" cube.
They can't expect to always make a home run with new land cycles selling Standard sets when they've backed themselves into a corner with one or two Mythics being the overall Expected Value (EV) of the sets themselves. Uro, Titan of Nature's Wrath was the ONLY reason why sealed product for Theros Beyond Death was able to be sold. It only proves that Wizards of the Coast only thinks short-term rather than long-term as the ongoing pandemic has given them a free pass to sacrifice competitive formats for EDH / Commander with little to no consequence involved.
"Restriction breeds creativity." - Sheldon Menery on EDH / Commander in Magic: The Gathering
"Cancel Culture is the real reason why everyone's not allowed to have nice things anymore." - Anonymous
"For what will it profit a man if he gains the whole world, and loses his own soul?" - Mark 8:36
"Most men and women will grow up to love their servitude and will never dream of revolution." - Aldous Huxley, Brave New World
"Every life decision is always a risk / reward proposition." - Sanjay Gupta