I've been slowly acquiring cards for Modern Burn during the last years and I've finally put it together. I plan to bring it to GP Sao Paulo!
Since I'm new to the deck, I came here with tons of questions. I got really impressed with the primer, it answered most of them and brought lots of high quality info, analysis, guides...
I saw many recent lists don't bring Enchantment hate. How do you feel about that?
I have some copies of Wear/Tear but could also splash green for Cindervines or Destructive Revelry.
Any sideboard plans for the Izzet Phoenix matchup? I understand it is favorable one, but is it worth to bring something in?
I think which enchantment hate, if any, to play is one of the most interesting aspects of Burn right now, mostly because a lot of the other questions have been 100% solved. It's definitely a metagame call, but I'm assuming you're talking about the general metagame. Elcon posts monthly Burn hate updates, which I highly recommend reviewing and basing your decisions off of. The big ones we have to worry about are Leyline of Sanctity and Worship. Bogles and Ad Nauseum both play other enchantments that are hard for us to deal with, but those matchups are so difficult it could be argued it's best to accept the loss versus them if those are the only reasons to play enchantment hate.
Neither Leyline or Worship are very popular right now. So, it might be the right call to give up enchantment hate in favor of something like Smash to Smithereens to get damage in. At the same time, you have to accept that if you do see Leyline or Worship, there's a strong chance you've just lost (playing Bump in the Night and Gonti's Machinations helps versus Worship, and Atarka's Command and Gonti's Machinations helps against Leyline). This also means you don't have to splash for enchantment hate, although pretty much all competitive Burn decks play at least one other color anyways for unconditional removal of some sort.
It might be that the correct call is to give up enchantment hate, but I think opportunity cost is another valuable thing to consider. How much would giving three damage up in exchange for Wear/Tear, or one damage up in exchange for Revelry/Cindervines, really hurt the deck? If we assume that the fastest we can consistently kill is turn four, we intend to see eleven cards of our deck. Seven of those cards being burn spells lets us deal 21 damage, and we craft a manabase optimizing our chances to see 2-3 lands throughout the game. That means we have 9-10 of those cards spoken for, so theoretically we should be able to afford at least one card that doesn't deal damage, but helps our gameplan in a significant way (such as Wear/Tear for a Leyline). This could mean that even if enchantments aren't incredibly popular, it's still worth hedging our bets and packing them in the sideboard on the off chance we see them, since mathematically we should be able to afford it.
BUT that in itself is wrong, because it doesn't take disruption into account. Inquisition of Kozilek? There goes your one non-damage card. Kitchen Finks? There goes your one non-damage card. Mulliganing? There goes your one non-damage card. There's so many ways to band-aid our initial kill, that I think we have to use those extra slots as insurance anyways. Having said that, though, Consistency is the other great strength of Burn, and it doesn't matter if we can't turn 4 kill if we keep drawing Lava Spikes to close the game out. Disruption makes us stumble, but a clock makes us lose, so then the question becomes "exactly how much, mathematically, does it matter to not be able to kill on turn 4?" and I have absolutely no idea how to answer that.
In my experience, burn has a couple of matchups where you win handily, but mostly they end with "phew I got there." That tension is very fun, but it became very clear very quickly the flaw of burn: it doesn't have room to screw around. Any card that can't deal three to the opponent in any way is a liability unless it has the potential to basically add three turns to your game. That's why skullcrack continues to see three or four copies, as a counterspell to lifegain like kitchen finks or timely reinforcments it is worth far more than just three damage. It's why I am a huge proponent of splitting graveyard hate between to include one or two Relics. That ability to draw a card is vital as opposed to surgical or RiP.
Bogles, you are honestly better off hoping they stumble a bit in their opening hand and playing a deflecting palm or ensnaring bridge. Ad Nauseaum? Well you can't win them all.
My personal hope? I want a burn finisher, an "oh *****" card in modern horizons. A sulfuric vortex reprint would be nice, though it's far more likely they slap it onto a 2/3 creature for 1RR instead (I'd take a 1/4 that doesn't die to bolts). Barbarian ring would be cool, but I don't see threshold coming back. Price of Progress for 2R? That's definitely doable, though it would mean changing the mana a bit to keep self-inflicted damage low.
To go in another direction, I do think faithless looting will eat a ban at the next update. Dunno if its right or wrong, but I see it coming.
TBH I was playing CD bc it was a way to get out of being eidolon locked while also dealing dmg to the opponent. I'd play this tbh in mono red b. I think in mono red I would run more creatures
March 2019 opposing hate analysis
The following is a lot of data that's tough to digest, but it might be helpful to you to know what kind of lifegain to expect at various times, what counterspells people are playing, and what discard spells people are playing. This analysis comes from MTGGoldfish data with some cleaning procedure applied to it to try to clean up any bad deck names. I then go through these deck lists and find instances of "counter target", "lifelink", and "gain N life"/"gains N life" in the card text. On top of that, I search for Leyline of Sanctity, Oketra's Last Mercy, Chalice of the Void, Phyrexian Unlife, and Spellskite. The deck population is 1170 decks. Cards that show up less than 0.5% of the time are not printed, and I've also removed some cards that don't affect us like Disdainful Stroke and Ceremonious Rejection. Per card splits: Go here if you want to find a list of what decks play specific cards.
1.000 0.319 0.04017 WU Control
1.250 0.003 0.00427 Other
1.000 0.064 0.04017 WU Control
4.000 0.003 0.00342 Other
3.421 1.000 0.04872 Humans
2.500 0.400 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
2.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.077 0.01111 Vizier Company
2.000 0.043 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
1.500 0.002 0.00171 Other
1.000 0.660 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.600 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.571 0.00598 Jeskai
1.333 0.003 0.00427 Other
1.000 0.500 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.048 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.333 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.043 0.01966 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.043 0.04017 WU Control
1.333 0.003 0.00256 Other
1.333 0.130 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
2.000 0.091 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.200 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
1.000 0.286 0.00598 Jeskai
2.000 0.048 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.021 0.04017 WU Control
1.333 0.005 0.00684 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00171 Other
1.600 0.227 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.333 0.231 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.923 0.011 0.01538 Other
4.000 0.667 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
4.000 1.000 0.01197 Four-Color Prison
4.000 0.545 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
4.000 0.571 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.875 0.800 0.00855 Mono U Tron
3.667 1.000 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
4.000 1.000 0.00513 Free-Win Red
1.000 0.190 0.01795 Living End
4.000 0.231 0.01111 Vizier Company
4.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
4.000 0.027 0.03162 Affinity
4.000 0.013 0.01368 Other
2.000 0.800 0.00855 Mono U Tron
2.250 0.140 0.04872 Humans
2.429 0.333 0.01795 Living End
1.000 0.273 0.01880 RG Titanshift
3.600 0.294 0.01453 Merfolk
2.800 0.500 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
2.500 0.571 0.00598 Grishoalbrand
1.000 0.286 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.000 0.333 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
2.000 0.020 0.04188 G Tron
1.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
1.000 0.027 0.03162 Affinity
1.857 0.006 0.01026 Other
1.542 0.615 0.03333 BGx Midrange
1.571 0.700 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
1.500 0.429 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.400 0.714 0.00598 Grishoalbrand
1.600 0.625 0.00684 Abzan
1.750 0.571 0.00598 Lantern Control
2.000 0.667 0.00513 Mill
2.000 0.043 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
1.000 0.048 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.048 0.01795 Jund
1.000 0.067 0.01282 Hollow One
1.889 0.015 0.02479 Other
1.789 0.974 0.03333 BGx Midrange
1.722 0.837 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
2.000 0.857 0.01795 Jund
2.188 0.941 0.01453 WBRG Death's Shadow
1.000 0.200 0.05556 Dredge
1.400 0.333 0.01282 Hollow One
1.500 0.571 0.00598 Grishoalbrand
1.250 0.667 0.00513 Mill
3.000 0.190 0.01795 Living End
1.250 0.500 0.00684 Abzan
2.000 0.058 0.04444 Burn
1.000 0.143 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.963 0.023 0.03419 Other
4.000 1.000 0.00855 Mono U Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00342 Other
2.000 0.023 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
1.375 0.007 0.01111 Other
1.900 0.455 0.01880 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.154 0.01111 Vizier Company
2.000 0.027 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.429 0.006 0.00940 Other
1.000 0.027 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.003 0.00684 Other
4.000 0.985 0.05556 Dredge
1.600 0.833 0.00513 Mill
1.000 1.000 0.00513 Mill
1.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
3.170 1.000 0.04017 WU Control
4.000 1.000 0.00940 UR Control
3.400 1.000 0.00855 WUR Control
3.111 0.429 0.01795 Living End
3.571 1.000 0.00598 Jeskai
4.000 0.857 0.00598 UBG Control
2.333 0.176 0.01453 Merfolk
3.435 0.020 0.02137 Other
4.000 1.000 0.00940 Bogles
4.000 0.706 0.01453 Merfolk
1.250 0.093 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
4.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
1.000 0.001 0.00427 Other
1.596 1.000 0.04017 WU Control
1.571 0.857 0.04188 UR Ascension
1.273 0.717 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
1.500 0.947 0.01624 URG Ascension
2.000 1.000 0.00940 UR Control
1.600 1.000 0.00855 WUR Control
2.500 0.800 0.00855 Restore Balance
1.333 0.857 0.00598 UBG Control
2.000 0.857 0.00598 Jeskai
1.000 0.625 0.00684 UG Infect
1.000 0.231 0.01111 UR Gifts Storm
1.000 0.300 0.00855 Mono U Tron
1.500 0.333 0.00513 Mill
1.000 0.054 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
1.000 0.048 0.01795 Living End
1.500 0.027 0.03761 Other
1.871 0.633 0.04188 UR Ascension
2.080 0.543 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
2.917 0.667 0.01538 Mono-Red Phoenix
1.714 0.368 0.01624 URG Ascension
2.500 0.190 0.01795 Living End
2.000 0.058 0.04444 Burn
2.000 0.182 0.00940 UR Control
3.000 0.167 0.00513 Free-Win Red
1.000 0.167 0.00513 Mill
2.917 0.010 0.01197 Other
2.000 0.167 0.00513 Mill
1.067 0.882 0.01453 WBRG Death's Shadow
1.000 0.128 0.03333 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.047 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
2.125 0.007 0.01453 Other
4.000 1.000 0.00598 Grishoalbrand
4.000 0.048 0.01795 Living End
4.000 0.003 0.00256 Other
1.000 0.003 0.00342 Other
1.000 0.238 0.01795 Jund
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
2.000 1.000 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
3.692 1.000 0.03333 BGx Midrange
3.714 1.000 0.01795 Jund
3.600 1.000 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
3.375 1.000 0.00684 Abzan
3.000 1.000 0.00598 Lantern Control
3.667 0.143 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
2.667 0.500 0.00513 Mill
3.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
3.273 0.028 0.03077 Other
1.125 0.941 0.01453 WBRG Death's Shadow
2.000 0.015 0.05556 Dredge
2.000 0.048 0.01795 Living End
1.667 0.003 0.00427 Other
1.000 1.000 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.000 1.000 0.01197 Four-Color Prison
2.000 1.000 0.00598 Lantern Control
1.600 0.004 0.00427 Other
1.000 0.326 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
2.333 0.429 0.01795 Living End
1.000 0.184 0.04188 UR Ascension
1.000 0.211 0.01624 URG Ascension
1.000 0.182 0.00940 UR Control
1.500 0.005 0.00769 Other
1.059 0.919 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.000 0.054 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.657 0.897 0.03333 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.333 0.01795 Jund
1.667 0.375 0.00684 Abzan
1.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
1.600 0.009 0.01624 Other
1.000 0.205 0.03333 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.095 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.250 0.00684 Abzan
1.000 0.048 0.01795 Jund
1.400 0.004 0.00769 Other
1.208 0.421 0.04872 Humans
1.750 0.364 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.125 0.800 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.077 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.000 0.125 0.00684 Abzan
2.000 0.071 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.600 0.009 0.00940 Other
1.833 0.273 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.500 0.500 0.00684 Abzan
1.000 0.429 0.00598 Lantern Control
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
1.714 0.006 0.01282 Other
1.000 0.286 0.00598 Lantern Control
1.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.000 0.100 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
2.000 0.059 0.01453 WBRG Death's Shadow
1.000 0.125 0.00684 Abzan
1.000 0.003 0.00684 Other
3.667 0.692 0.01111 Vizier Company
2.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.800 0.004 0.00427 Other
1.222 0.462 0.03333 BGx Midrange
1.375 0.381 0.01795 Jund
1.250 0.500 0.00684 Abzan
2.000 0.167 0.00513 Elves
1.400 0.004 0.00769 Other
3.386 1.000 0.04872 Humans
1.000 0.018 0.04872 Humans
1.000 0.154 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.571 0.012 0.01368 Other
2.044 0.789 0.04872 Humans
2.130 1.000 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
2.182 0.846 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.667 0.375 0.00684 Abzan
2.500 0.095 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.900 0.017 0.02051 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00171 Other
2.250 0.308 0.04444 Burn
2.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.077 0.01111 Vizier Company
3.000 0.100 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
2.000 0.143 0.00598 Jeskai
1.429 0.006 0.01368 Other
4.000 0.364 0.00940 Bogles
3.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
4.000 0.917 0.02051 Ad Nauseam
3.429 1.000 0.00598 Lantern Control
4.000 0.636 0.00940 Bogles
3.600 0.714 0.00598 Grishoalbrand
3.400 0.556 0.00769 Martyr Proc
2.667 0.064 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.065 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
3.000 0.167 0.01538 Mono-Red Phoenix
4.000 0.020 0.04188 G Tron
2.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.077 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.000 0.053 0.01624 URG Ascension
4.000 0.048 0.01795 Living End
4.000 0.100 0.00855 Restore Balance
3.556 0.008 0.01111 Other
1.500 0.857 0.00598 UBG Control
3.000 0.087 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
2.000 0.158 0.01624 URG Ascension
2.000 0.143 0.01795 Jund
1.000 0.045 0.01880 RG Titanshift
2.000 0.026 0.03333 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.002 0.00598 Other
3.255 0.904 0.04444 Burn
3.900 1.000 0.00855 WUR Control
3.143 1.000 0.00598 Jeskai
1.833 0.600 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Restore Balance
3.500 0.007 0.00684 Other
1.000 0.038 0.04444 Burn
1.000 0.001 0.00171 Other
1.457 0.745 0.04017 WU Control
2.889 0.900 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.727 0.00940 UR Control
2.286 1.000 0.00598 Jeskai
1.000 0.286 0.00598 UBG Control
1.818 0.009 0.01197 Other
1.028 0.766 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.600 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.714 0.00598 Jeskai
1.000 0.091 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.200 0.004 0.00513 Other
1.241 0.617 0.04017 WU Control
1.667 0.300 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.429 0.00598 Jeskai
2.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
2.167 0.005 0.00598 Other
2.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
4.000 1.000 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
4.000 1.000 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
4.000 0.003 0.00427 Other
4.000 0.015 0.05556 Dredge
3.873 0.969 0.05556 Dredge
3.286 1.000 0.04188 G Tron
3.826 1.000 0.01966 Hardened Scales
2.857 1.000 0.01197 WG Tron
3.778 0.243 0.03162 Affinity
1.750 1.000 0.00684 UG Infect
1.750 0.182 0.01880 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.081 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.286 0.00598 Lantern Control
2.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
2.500 0.010 0.01111 Other
1.553 1.000 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.714 0.00598 Jeskai
1.000 0.400 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.286 0.00598 UBG Control
1.000 0.091 0.00940 UR Control
1.000 0.003 0.00256 Other
1.306 0.766 0.04017 WU Control
2.152 0.892 0.03162 Amulet Titan
2.000 0.381 0.01795 Living End
1.625 0.727 0.00940 UR Control
1.286 0.700 0.00855 WUR Control
1.500 0.857 0.00598 Jeskai
1.200 0.109 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
1.600 0.217 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 0.429 0.00598 UBG Control
1.000 0.300 0.00855 Mono U Tron
1.000 0.154 0.01111 UR Gifts Storm
1.000 0.143 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.000 0.167 0.00513 Mill
2.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
2.000 0.100 0.00855 Restore Balance
1.000 0.020 0.04188 UR Ascension
2.000 0.100 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
1.581 0.026 0.03932 Other
1.000 0.190 0.01795 Living End
2.000 0.100 0.00855 Mono U Tron
2.000 0.001 0.00171 Other
1.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Mono U Tron
2.000 0.045 0.01880 RG Titanshift
2.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
2.409 1.000 0.01880 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.270 0.03162 Amulet Titan
2.000 0.048 0.01795 Living End
2.000 0.009 0.01197 Other
1.143 0.298 0.04017 WU Control
2.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.021 0.04017 WU Control
1.054 1.000 0.03162 Amulet Titan
2.792 1.000 0.02051 Ad Nauseam
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.150 0.833 0.02051 Ad Nauseam
2.286 1.000 0.00598 Grishoalbrand
1.000 0.108 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.652 0.01966 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.108 0.03162 Affinity
1.000 0.002 0.00256 Other
3.917 1.000 0.02051 Ad Nauseam
1.000 0.162 0.03162 Amulet Titan
3.500 0.007 0.00684 Other
1.500 0.054 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.857 0.00598 UBG Control
1.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.000 0.108 0.03162 Amulet Titan
3.000 0.167 0.00513 Free-Win Red
1.000 0.054 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
3.455 1.000 0.00940 UR Control
3.200 1.000 0.00855 Mono U Tron
1.778 0.692 0.01111 UR Gifts Storm
3.000 0.900 0.00855 Restore Balance
3.429 0.333 0.01795 Living End
3.500 0.857 0.00598 UBG Control
1.500 0.085 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.100 0.00855 WUR Control
3.000 0.053 0.01624 URG Ascension
3.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
1.000 0.022 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
2.000 0.020 0.04188 UR Ascension
2.900 0.017 0.01966 Other
1.000 0.700 0.00855 Restore Balance
2.000 0.020 0.04188 UR Ascension
3.128 1.000 0.03333 BGx Midrange
2.762 1.000 0.01795 Jund
1.000 0.692 0.01111 Vizier Company
2.250 1.000 0.00684 Abzan
2.000 0.667 0.00513 Elves
3.000 0.095 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.167 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
2.355 0.026 0.03077 Other
1.500 0.769 0.01111 Vizier Company
4.000 0.167 0.00513 Elves
1.667 0.010 0.01197 Other
4.000 1.000 0.00769 Martyr Proc
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.250 0.615 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.003 0.00427 Other
1.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.003 0.00513 Other
2.750 0.364 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.375 1.000 0.00684 Abzan
3.000 0.048 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
2.357 0.012 0.01538 Other
1.733 0.526 0.04872 Humans
2.111 0.692 0.01111 Vizier Company
2.667 0.005 0.00513 Other
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.125 0.00684 Abzan
2.000 0.412 0.01453 Merfolk
2.000 0.087 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
1.667 0.375 0.00684 UG Infect
1.000 0.043 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Restore Balance
2.000 0.143 0.00598 Jeskai
1.875 0.007 0.01026 Other
1.792 0.980 0.04188 UR Ascension
1.737 0.826 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
2.000 0.947 0.01624 URG Ascension
2.000 0.405 0.03162 Affinity
1.333 0.405 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.857 0.875 0.00684 UG Infect
1.000 0.128 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.385 0.01111 UR Gifts Storm
1.000 0.333 0.00513 Mill
1.000 0.118 0.01453 Merfolk
1.000 0.200 0.00855 Mono U Tron
1.500 0.200 0.00855 Restore Balance
3.000 0.100 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
1.667 0.008 0.01282 Other
1.030 0.702 0.04017 WU Control
1.818 1.000 0.00940 UR Control
2.200 0.500 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.286 0.00598 UBG Control
1.000 0.286 0.00598 Jeskai
1.533 0.013 0.01624 Other
2.000 0.053 0.01624 URG Ascension
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Mono U Tron
1.000 0.091 0.00940 UR Control
1.000 0.002 0.00427 Other
1.143 0.875 0.00684 UG Infect
1.000 0.500 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.000 0.108 0.03162 Affinity
1.000 0.130 0.01966 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.077 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.250 0.007 0.00855 Other
1.556 0.783 0.01966 Hardened Scales
4.000 1.000 0.01197 Four-Color Prison
2.667 0.857 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.400 0.270 0.03162 Affinity
1.167 0.750 0.00684 UG Infect
1.000 0.714 0.00598 Lantern Control
1.000 0.041 0.04188 G Tron
1.000 0.333 0.00513 Free-Win Red
1.000 0.143 0.01197 WG Tron
1.000 0.167 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
2.000 0.045 0.01880 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.077 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.000 0.111 0.00769 Martyr Proc
1.000 0.009 0.01368 Other
3.571 0.006 0.00598 Other
3.690 0.977 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
3.200 0.004 0.00427 Other
1.083 0.279 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
2.000 0.135 0.03162 Affinity
4.000 0.095 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.003 0.00342 Other
1.000 0.003 0.00342 Other
1.000 0.286 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.000 0.083 0.02051 Ad Nauseam
1.500 0.054 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
2.000 0.048 0.01795 Living End
2.000 0.100 0.00855 Restore Balance
1.167 0.005 0.00513 Other
3.857 0.500 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.000 0.143 0.01197 Four-Color Prison
1.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
4.000 0.003 0.00342 Other
3.909 1.000 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
4.000 1.000 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
4.000 1.000 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
2.000 0.100 0.00855 Mono U Tron
3.000 0.071 0.01197 WG Tron
4.000 0.004 0.00427 Other
2.733 0.918 0.04188 G Tron
2.700 0.714 0.01197 WG Tron
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Mono U Tron
3.000 0.002 0.00256 Other
4.000 1.000 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
2.487 1.000 0.03333 BGx Midrange
2.286 1.000 0.01795 Jund
3.941 1.000 0.01453 WBRG Death's Shadow
3.000 1.000 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
2.625 1.000 0.00684 Abzan
2.286 1.000 0.00598 Lantern Control
2.333 0.143 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.500 0.00513 Mill
2.903 0.026 0.03162 Other
2.000 0.917 0.02051 Ad Nauseam
2.857 0.933 0.01282 Hollow One
1.833 0.162 0.03162 Affinity
2.500 0.062 0.05556 Dredge
1.750 0.190 0.01795 Jund
1.000 0.300 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.250 0.00684 Abzan
4.000 0.019 0.04444 Burn
2.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
2.000 0.027 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.900 0.009 0.01282 Other
1.000 0.061 0.04188 G Tron
1.667 0.214 0.01197 WG Tron
1.500 0.002 0.00256 Other
3.065 0.939 0.04188 G Tron
2.692 0.929 0.01197 WG Tron
1.000 0.135 0.03162 Amulet Titan
2.333 0.143 0.01795 Living End
1.000 0.051 0.03333 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.045 0.01880 RG Titanshift
1.800 0.004 0.00427 Other
4.000 0.364 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
4.000 0.143 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
4.000 0.006 0.00855 Other
1.500 0.154 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.103 0.830 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.400 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.002 0.00256 Other
1.200 0.745 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.286 0.00598 Jeskai
1.000 0.100 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Restore Balance
1.000 0.027 0.03162 Amulet Titan
2.000 0.071 0.01197 WG Tron
1.571 0.006 0.00684 Other
2.000 1.000 0.04188 G Tron
2.000 1.000 0.01197 WG Tron
1.400 1.000 0.00855 Mono U Tron
1.000 0.500 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
1.333 0.003 0.00256 Other
1.000 0.500 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
1.684 0.826 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
3.000 0.200 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
2.250 0.003 0.00427 Other
3.893 0.757 0.03162 Affinity
1.000 0.048 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.077 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.000 0.125 0.00684 Abzan
1.000 0.006 0.00598 Other
1.333 0.273 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.333 0.143 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 0.167 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Mono U Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.467 0.306 0.04188 G Tron
2.167 1.000 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
1.667 0.286 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.200 0.227 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.400 0.357 0.01197 WG Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
4.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
2.125 0.471 0.01453 Merfolk
3.388 1.000 0.04188 G Tron
3.214 1.000 0.01197 WG Tron
2.000 1.000 0.00855 Mono U Tron
1.333 0.500 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
2.500 0.003 0.00342 Other
1.500 0.333 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.003 0.00427 Other
1.000 0.162 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
Card fractions: This is averaged over the whole meta and is the fraction of decks that play the card in the maindeck/sideboard without taking into account how many copies they play. These give a general idea of what cards to expect from a randomly chosen deck. Maindeck: The top cards are Thoughtseize (15.56%), Inquisition of Kozilek (14.36%), Cryptic Command (9.91%), Scavenging Ooze (9.83%), Chalice of the Void (7.86%), Remand (6.92%), Wurmcoil Engine (6.84%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Thoughtseize (15.30%), Inquisition of Kozilek (14.59%), Scavenging Ooze (11.85%), Cryptic Command (10.70%), Chalice of the Void (8.93%), Lightning Helix (8.05%), Remand (7.96%).
Hate cards by meta decks: Go here if you want to see what kind of hate cards specific decks play.
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Meta composition: This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name. Some of these deck names might be fuzzy, so the results are approximate.
This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name.
5.56% Dredge
4.87% Humans
4.44% Burn
4.19% G Tron
4.19% UR Ascension
4.02% WU Control
3.93% Izzet Phoenix
3.68% UBR Death's Shadow
3.33% BGx Midrange
3.16% Affinity
3.16% Amulet Titan
2.05% Ad Nauseam
1.97% Hardened Scales
1.97% Goodstuff 3c
1.88% RG Titanshift
1.88% Eldrazi and Taxes
1.79% Eldrazi Aggro
1.79% Living End
1.79% Jund
1.62% URG Ascension
1.54% Mono-Red Phoenix
1.45% WBRG Death's Shadow
1.45% Merfolk
1.28% Hollow One
1.20% Whir Prison
1.20% Four-Color Prison
1.20% WG Tron
1.11% Vizier Company
1.11% UR Gifts Storm
0.94% UR Control
0.94% Bogles
0.85% WUR Control
0.85% Mardu Pyromancer
0.85% Mono U Tron
0.85% Restore Balance
0.85% Azorius Spirits
0.77% Martyr Proc
0.68% UG Infect
0.68% Abzan
0.60% Grishoalbrand
0.60% Lantern Control
0.60% UBG Control
0.60% Jeskai
0.51% Eldrazi Tron
0.51% Elves
0.51% Free-Win Red
0.51% Mill
0.43% UB Control
0.43% Ur Phoenix
0.34% Temur Tooth and Nail
0.34% 8-Rack
0.34% WUR Storm
0.34% URG Gifts Storm
0.34% Junk Hatebears
0.34% UBR Control
0.34% Glittering Jeskai Ascendancy
0.34% BRG Death's Shadow
0.26% Death and Taxes
0.26% Orzhov Eldrazi
0.26% Jeskai Ascendancy
0.26% Mono-Green Midrange
0.26% Hardened Modular
0.26% Orzhov Tokens
0.26% UBRG Death's Shadow
0.26% Mono-Red Prison
0.26% Blue Moon
0.17% WUB Control
0.17% Rakdos Prison
0.17% WUBR Control
0.17% UR Delver
0.17% WURG Copycat
0.17% WUB
0.17% UBR Delver
0.17% Gruul Land Destruction
0.17% Wilted Abzan
0.17% 8-Whack
0.17% WUG Hatebears
0.17% Death Cloud
0.17% Goryo's Breach
0.17% WG Hatebears
0.17% Monored Phoenix
0.17% Sultai Midrange
0.17% URG Titanshift
0.17% Mono-r Phoenix
0.17% Boros Prison
0.17% Temur Eldritch Kiki
0.17% WURG Knightfall
0.17% R Storm
0.09% Blue-White Emeria Lock
0.09% Black-White Zombies
0.09% Dimir Whir
0.09% Titan Breach
0.09% Uw Spirits
0.09% Uw Miricles
0.09% BRG Titanshift
0.09% UBG Death's Shadow
0.09% Hollow Phoenix
0.09% Green-White Land Destruction
0.09% Abzan Midrange
0.09% UG Control
0.09% Gruul Stomping Rhythm
0.09% Nahiri Prison
0.09% Tokens
0.09% Artifact Charge Ramp
0.09% Control
0.09% Bw Token
0.09% WRG Titanshift
0.09% UB Death's Shadow
0.09% Untitled
0.09% WRG Hatebears
0.09% Goodstuff 4c
0.09% BG Tron
0.09% Blue-White Flicker
0.09% Colorless Prison
0.09% Ponza
0.09% Mono-Green Tron
0.09% UR Storm
0.09% Blue-White Blink
0.09% Mono-red Phoenix
0.09% Bant Company
0.09% Jeskai Midrange
0.09% Goryo's Phoenix
0.09% Jeskai Spirits
0.09% URG Scapeshift
0.09% Gruul Ponza
0.09% Bg Deathcloud
0.09% Cocowisp
0.09% Azorius Blink
0.09% Black-Red Pack
0.09% Abzan Superfriends
0.09% Grinding Station
0.09% Lanternless
0.09% Through the Breach
0.09% Rw Prison
0.09% URG Control
0.09% Naya Zoo
0.09% Sultai Artifact Prison
0.09% Orzhov Midrange
0.09% Mono-White Walkers
0.09% Orzhov Kaya
0.09% Kiki Chord
0.09% WURG Kiki-Resto
0.09% Naya Nahiri
0.09% Semblance Anvil
Enchantments:
1.000 0.003 0.00342 Other
1.667 0.143 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.333 0.273 0.00940 UR Control
2.000 0.095 0.01795 Jund
2.000 0.022 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
1.000 0.023 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
2.000 0.020 0.04188 UR Ascension
1.750 0.003 0.00769 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00256 Other
3.900 0.476 0.01795 Living End
4.000 1.000 0.00855 Restore Balance
1.000 0.111 0.00769 Martyr Proc
3.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
2.000 0.048 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
3.000 0.011 0.01197 Other
2.000 0.077 0.03333 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.054 0.03162 Affinity
1.000 0.015 0.05556 Dredge
1.000 0.001 0.00342 Other
1.875 0.800 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
1.750 0.727 0.00940 UR Control
4.000 1.000 0.00513 Free-Win Red
2.000 0.286 0.00598 Grishoalbrand
1.000 0.022 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Restore Balance
3.000 0.027 0.03162 Affinity
3.278 0.015 0.01624 Other
2.000 0.959 0.04188 UR Ascension
2.000 0.935 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
2.000 0.895 0.01624 URG Ascension
2.353 0.944 0.01538 Mono-Red Phoenix
1.250 0.800 0.00855 Restore Balance
1.000 0.636 0.00940 UR Control
2.000 0.286 0.01795 Living End
1.200 0.500 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
1.250 0.108 0.03162 Affinity
2.667 0.429 0.00598 Grishoalbrand
2.667 0.058 0.04444 Burn
4.000 0.048 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
2.000 0.067 0.01282 Hollow One
2.071 0.024 0.02735 Other
4.000 0.015 0.05556 Dredge
2.000 0.556 0.00769 Martyr Proc
1.000 0.091 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.000 0.003 0.00256 Other
1.000 0.273 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.128 0.03333 BGx Midrange
1.333 0.143 0.01795 Jund
1.000 0.125 0.00684 Abzan
1.000 0.043 0.01966 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.023 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
2.500 0.002 0.00427 Other
1.000 0.038 0.04444 Burn
2.167 0.346 0.04444 Burn
2.500 0.118 0.01453 WBRG Death's Shadow
2.000 0.045 0.01880 RG Titanshift
2.000 0.003 0.00427 Other
1.222 0.191 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.100 0.00855 WUR Control
2.000 0.071 0.01197 WG Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.000 0.162 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.750 0.444 0.00769 Martyr Proc
1.000 0.087 0.01966 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.091 0.00940 Bogles
1.900 0.455 0.01880 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.154 0.01111 Vizier Company
2.000 0.027 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.429 0.006 0.00940 Other
1.000 0.027 0.03162 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.003 0.00684 Other
4.000 1.000 0.00940 Bogles
1.333 0.957 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.300 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.286 0.00598 Jeskai
1.667 0.003 0.00256 Other
1.000 0.100 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.021 0.04017 WU Control
1.333 0.003 0.00513 Other
1.000 0.043 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
2.000 0.100 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
1.000 0.002 0.00171 Other
1.250 0.522 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 0.615 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.000 0.136 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.667 0.300 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
1.000 0.222 0.00769 Martyr Proc
2.000 0.143 0.00598 Jeskai
1.385 0.011 0.01538 Other
4.000 0.962 0.04444 Burn
3.333 0.500 0.00513 Free-Win Red
4.000 0.100 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
4.000 0.003 0.00427 Other
3.000 0.667 0.00513 Free-Win Red
2.000 0.167 0.01538 Mono-Red Phoenix
3.333 0.003 0.00342 Other
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
4.000 1.000 0.00940 Bogles
1.375 0.348 0.01966 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.081 0.03162 Affinity
1.000 0.001 0.00256 Other
1.000 0.174 0.01966 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.054 0.03162 Affinity
2.200 0.541 0.03162 Affinity
1.118 0.459 0.03162 Affinity
2.000 0.020 0.04188 UR Ascension
2.000 0.167 0.00513 Mill
1.808 0.703 0.03162 Affinity
1.000 0.714 0.01197 Four-Color Prison
1.167 0.429 0.01197 Whir Prison
1.000 0.714 0.00598 Lantern Control
1.200 0.004 0.00513 Other
3.714 0.778 0.00769 Martyr Proc
3.500 0.002 0.00171 Other
1.000 0.045 0.01880 RG Titanshift
1.909 1.000 0.00940 Bogles
4.000 1.000 0.01966 Hardened Scales
4.000 0.243 0.03162 Affinity
4.000 0.003 0.00256 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.750 0.003 0.00342 Other
2.000 0.081 0.03162 Amulet Titan
2.000 0.081 0.03162 Amulet Titan
2.182 1.000 0.00940 Bogles
1.000 0.091 0.00940 Bogles
1.000 0.167 0.00513 Mill
4.000 0.004 0.00427 Other
3.429 0.006 0.00598 Other
1.000 0.003 0.00342 Other
2.500 0.002 0.00171 Other
1.000 0.182 0.00940 Bogles
1.000 0.102 0.04188 UR Ascension
1.000 0.065 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
1.000 0.053 0.01624 URG Ascension
1.929 0.636 0.01880 RG Titanshift
4.000 0.364 0.00940 Bogles
3.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
4.000 0.917 0.02051 Ad Nauseam
3.429 1.000 0.00598 Lantern Control
4.000 0.636 0.00940 Bogles
3.600 0.714 0.00598 Grishoalbrand
3.400 0.556 0.00769 Martyr Proc
2.667 0.064 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.065 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
3.000 0.167 0.01538 Mono-Red Phoenix
4.000 0.020 0.04188 G Tron
2.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.077 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.000 0.053 0.01624 URG Ascension
4.000 0.048 0.01795 Living End
4.000 0.100 0.00855 Restore Balance
3.556 0.008 0.01111 Other
2.000 0.015 0.05556 Dredge
2.431 0.785 0.05556 Dredge
3.600 1.000 0.01282 Hollow One
3.556 0.429 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
4.000 0.600 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
3.667 0.140 0.03675 UBR Death's Shadow
1.000 0.087 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
3.000 0.077 0.03333 BGx Midrange
3.667 0.143 0.01795 Living End
3.333 0.143 0.01795 Jund
4.000 0.333 0.00513 Free-Win Red
3.000 0.200 0.00855 Mono U Tron
4.000 0.167 0.00513 Eldrazi Tron
4.000 0.019 0.04444 Burn
1.000 0.077 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.000 0.053 0.01624 URG Ascension
4.000 0.125 0.00684 Abzan
4.000 0.056 0.01538 Mono-Red Phoenix
1.000 0.020 0.04188 UR Ascension
1.000 0.071 0.01197 WG Tron
3.643 0.012 0.02393 Other
4.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.000 0.091 0.00940 Bogles
2.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.000 0.286 0.00598 UBG Control
1.000 0.167 0.00513 Mill
1.000 0.001 0.00342 Other
1.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
4.000 0.003 0.00342 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00171 Other
3.917 1.000 0.02051 Ad Nauseam
1.000 0.021 0.04017 WU Control
3.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.571 0.318 0.01880 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
2.000 0.167 0.00513 Free-Win Red
1.745 0.959 0.04188 UR Ascension
1.632 1.000 0.01624 URG Ascension
1.000 0.077 0.01111 UR Gifts Storm
1.200 0.102 0.04188 UR Ascension
1.000 0.077 0.01111 UR Gifts Storm
1.500 0.003 0.00513 Other
4.000 1.000 0.00940 Bogles
1.000 0.250 0.00684 UG Infect
1.000 0.043 0.01966 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.000 0.045 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
3.000 0.002 0.00171 Other
3.047 0.827 0.04444 Burn
2.073 0.872 0.04017 WU Control
2.864 1.000 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.545 0.957 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
1.810 0.568 0.03162 Affinity
2.400 0.909 0.00940 Bogles
2.375 0.800 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
1.500 0.105 0.04872 Humans
1.600 0.714 0.00598 Jeskai
2.750 0.444 0.00769 Martyr Proc
2.667 0.143 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 0.200 0.00855 WUR Control
4.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
1.000 0.043 0.01966 Hardened Scales
3.000 0.100 0.00855 Restore Balance
3.000 0.071 0.01197 WG Tron
2.357 0.024 0.02906 Other
2.500 0.002 0.00171 Other
4.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.000 0.333 0.00769 Martyr Proc
1.000 0.054 0.03162 Affinity
2.000 0.002 0.00171 Other
1.200 0.106 0.04017 WU Control
2.000 0.333 0.00769 Martyr Proc
3.500 0.002 0.00171 Other
1.000 0.213 0.04017 WU Control
1.000 0.300 0.00855 WUR Control
2.000 0.286 0.00598 Jeskai
2.000 0.111 0.00769 Martyr Proc
1.000 0.043 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
1.375 0.007 0.00769 Other
2.167 0.545 0.00940 Bogles
1.000 0.045 0.01880 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.020 0.04188 G Tron
1.459 0.787 0.04017 WU Control
2.143 0.700 0.00855 WUR Control
1.000 0.400 0.00855 Restore Balance
1.333 0.500 0.00513 Mill
2.000 0.429 0.00598 Jeskai
1.000 0.143 0.01197 Whir Prison
2.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
1.500 0.009 0.00940 Other
1.000 0.143 0.00598 Jeskai
2.000 0.750 0.00684 UG Infect
2.000 0.500 0.00513 Elves
1.000 0.043 0.01966 Hardened Scales
4.000 0.003 0.00342 Other
2.000 0.167 0.02051 Ad Nauseam
3.000 0.083 0.02051 Ad Nauseam
1.000 0.071 0.01197 WG Tron
3.364 1.000 0.00940 Bogles
1.000 0.091 0.00940 Bogles
1.100 0.909 0.00940 Bogles
1.000 0.091 0.00940 Bogles
2.091 1.000 0.00940 Bogles
2.000 0.100 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
4.000 0.941 0.01453 Merfolk
3.250 0.400 0.00855 Mono U Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.906 0.681 0.04017 WU Control
2.130 1.000 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
2.476 0.955 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.300 0.909 0.00940 Bogles
2.875 0.889 0.00769 Martyr Proc
2.429 0.875 0.00684 Abzan
2.000 0.238 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
2.250 0.070 0.04872 Humans
1.667 0.300 0.00855 WUR Control
1.333 0.231 0.01111 Vizier Company
2.000 0.286 0.00598 Jeskai
2.000 0.100 0.00855 Mardu Pyromancer
3.000 0.059 0.01453 Merfolk
2.000 0.100 0.00855 Restore Balance
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
2.212 0.028 0.03162 Other
2.000 0.091 0.00940 Bogles
2.000 0.001 0.00085 Other
1.000 0.095 0.01795 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.051 0.03333 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.184 0.04188 UR Ascension
1.000 0.130 0.03932 Izzet Phoenix
1.000 0.211 0.01624 URG Ascension
2.000 0.001 0.00427 Other
1.000 0.091 0.00940 Bogles
4.000 0.143 0.00598 UBG Control
4.000 0.013 0.01368 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00342 Other
1.667 0.375 0.00684 UG Infect
3.667 0.857 0.00598 UBG Control
1.000 0.002 0.00171 Other
1.000 0.478 0.01966 Goodstuff 3c
1.889 0.409 0.01880 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.500 0.308 0.01111 Vizier Company
1.000 0.100 0.00855 Azorius Spirits
1.667 0.005 0.00598 Other
1.000 0.003 0.00342 Other
Maindeck: The top cards are Pyromancer Ascension (5.73%), Search for Azcanta (5.73%), Eidolon of the Great Revel (4.87%), Detention Sphere (4.53%), Blood Moon (3.85%), Hardened Scales (2.99%), Phyrexian Unlife (2.05%).
Sideboard: The top cards are Rest in Peace (18.72%), Blood Moon (16.32%), Stony Silence (13.25%), Leyline of the Void (10.77%), Leyline of Sanctity (5.98%), Ghirapur Aether Grid (4.44%), Eidolon of Rhetoric (3.59%).
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Surprised this one hasn't been talked about here yet?!
Finale of Promise XRR Sorcery
You may cast up to one target instant card and/or up to one target sorcery card from your graveyard each with converted mana cost X or less without paying their mana costs. If a card cast this way would be put into your graveyard this turn, exile it instead. If X is 10 or more, copy each of those spells twice. You may choose new targets for the copies.
It's extremely situational and looks unplayable. Unless you have at least 1 Bolt and at least 1 Spike in your graveyard, it's a 3 mana Lightning Bolt and you'd be better off with Exquisite Firecraft. We like to say we have "16 Bolts", but we don't. Skewer and Rift would take 5 mana here. Skullcrack+Spike would take 4. The T3 win aspect isn't that exciting. If your opponent hasn't played a blocker or killed Swiftspear by T3, you probably aren't going to lose the game anyway. Burn already has a way to get 6 damage for 3 mana out of spent Burn spells: Grim Lavamancer.
It's a cool card and it might have a home in Modern casting things like Living End, but it's not a Burn card.
Surprised this one hasn't been talked about here yet?!
Finale of Promise XRR Sorcery
You may cast up to one target instant card and/or up to one target sorcery card from your graveyard each with converted mana cost X or less without paying their mana costs. If a card cast this way would be put into your graveyard this turn, exile it instead. If X is 10 or more, copy each of those spells twice. You may choose new targets for the copies.
Is this not at the very least testable? Possibly in spell-heavy Mono R build?
A copy - maybe even two - wouldn't be the worst thing anyone has ever tried as long as one has a reasonably good ration of sorceries and instants. It's not something one would want to see multiples of and the X=10 thing is never happening.
The problem is that we don't have a good ratio of sorceries and instants. We play exactly 1 instant and exactly 1 sorcery that satisfy this for x=1. At x=2, we open up the instants but we still only have 1 sorcery, but I don't want to be casting jack for 4 mana. Only at x=3 do you open up more sorceries, and I definitely don't want to be casting it for 5. Frankly, I think this is on par with (and equally as unplayable as) Thunderous Wrath.
Before someone brings up Shard Volley, you can't play this on T3 after playing a Shard Volley and therefore need 4 lands. You're also going to lose one of them when you re-cast Shard Volley because you have to pay mandatory additional costs even when you cast something "without paying its mana cost".
The problem is that we don't have a good ratio of sorceries and instants. We play exactly 1 instant and exactly 1 sorcery that satisfy this for x=1. At x=2, we open up the instants but we still only have 1 sorcery, but I don't want to be casting jack for 4 mana. Only at x=3 do you open up more sorceries, and I definitely don't want to be casting it for 5. Frankly, I think this is on par with (and equally as unplayable as) Thunderous Wrath.
Before someone brings up Shard Volley, you can't play this on T3 after playing a Shard Volley and therefore need 4 lands. You're also going to lose one of them when you re-cast Shard Volley because you have to pay mandatory additional costs even when you cast something "without paying its mana cost".
"We" play two one - CMC sorceries but I should have looked at the casting costs of the Instants before commenting. Finale of Promise is not likely to be played on curve and isn't significantly better than the other "good top-decks" that get bandied about from time to time.
I didn't realize that so many of the cards that are usually cast for one-mana aren't actually one-CMC. Lessons learned.
I think I'd rather just play 3 spells dealing 9 personally and I agree that if the opponent hasn't played a creature by that time or dealt with Swiss beer then they weren't going to win to begin with. There's too much one drop/ two drop removal that, between blocking or removal, there's no way they will allow us to go ham
My apologies for assuming you were on Boros. Adding Bump doesn't change much of anything for this card. I'd genuinely prefer Exquisite Firecraft, but in reality you'd have to shave some good cards in order to make room for it and there's nothing in a RB or RW Burn list that I'd want to cut in order to play this.
I really like the Arcanist. the body is useless, but it doesn't die if a dork blocks it, if they waste removal on it then they have less removal, and if you get one use out of it, it's better than Searing Spear (not the bar, I know, but it has seen some small mono red play) because you still get a creature in play. I am actually really excited about this, it's like a Snapcaster that is worse right when you play it, but can often be much better. this is not a turn 2 play, this is a turn 4-5 'hellbent and having trouble getting there' play. unless they want to waste a card killing it, this is effectively card draw. I know we don't want a lot of games going long, but this could change that. this could change the 'Burn loses the long game' simple fact of every format forever. you don't feel as bad wasting a Bolt on the bird because you get to play it again. it's seriously like Snappy but better for us. I may be wrong, it may be hot garbage, but I am hoping it stays cheap until payday. this card seems crazy exciting
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Project Booster Fun makes it less fun to open a booster.
"if they waste removal on it then they have less removal" isn't where Burn wants to be, though. You want that removal to either be dead in their hands or too late because you've already dealt damage with your creature. I think it's just too slow to matter, and it requires you to go through the red-zone against potentially larger creatures in order to do anything (Grim Lavamancer doesn't). I think it would be in the Grim Lavamancer slot if Grim Lavamancer didn't exist, but Grim does. If it were a 1/2 that cost R, it might be ok, but 2CMC is too much for a card that does nothing the turn it comes down.
Someone has published an article investigating the London Mulligan and Burn is one of the decks they looked at. According to their results, Burn gains about 1% more keepable hands with the London Mulligan, which is consistent with Burn being a "critical mass deck" rather than a "key card deck".
I really hope that WotC has some internal data similar to this from MTGO and they don't institute the London Mulligan. I don't like how disproportionately it affects decks, and I especially don't want existing decks banned that are reasonable under the current rules solely because they are unreasonable under the new rules.
I think the problem is that WOTC is testing this rule to appease a large group of people who are, in my opinion, very whiny about luck. It's a card game, yet the idea of every proverbial coin flip not ending up "heads" leads to people being salty, complaints, and WOTC is attempting to reduce variance. Fine, whatever.
The problem is that eternal formats already have the tools to exchange randomness for consistency. Everything from brainstorm to ancient stirrings to demonic tutor to fetchlands are things MtG players have been using for years. You add the ability to sculpt the ideal hand in a mulligan situation? Yeah, you've cranked it up to eleven. Personally? I'd be sleeving up infect for a few weeks, preying on the unfair decks with one of the few archetypes capable of turn 2 and 3 wins. Maybe storm, I liked storm.
The more likely result? The modern PT will be an absolute dumpster fire, and the mulligan rule will remain as other consistency tools are banned. WOTC already said they don't want different mulligan rules for different formats.
Someone probably has played it in a budget list, but it's not in the optimized list because it's not good enough. Turn 1 1/2 without haste doesn't cut it when Swift is a turn 1 1/2 with haste and Guide is a turn 1 2/2 with haste. Eidolon is too powerful of an effect to cut in my opinion, and it affects the board immediately through its triggered ability. It's on the list of things that are worth playing if you've got the shell of mono-R but don't have Guides.
April 2019 opposing hate analysis
The following is a lot of data that's tough to digest, but it might be helpful to you to know what kind of lifegain to expect at various times, what counterspells people are playing, and what discard spells people are playing. This analysis comes from MTGGoldfish data with some cleaning procedure applied to it to try to clean up any bad deck names. I then go through these deck lists and find instances of "counter target", "lifelink", and "gain N life"/"gains N life" in the card text. On top of that, I search for Leyline of Sanctity, Oketra's Last Mercy, Chalice of the Void, Phyrexian Unlife, and Spellskite. The deck population is 1431 decks. Cards that show up less than 0.5% of the time are not printed, and I've also removed some cards that don't affect us like Disdainful Stroke and Ceremonious Rejection. Per card splits: Go here if you want to find a list of what decks play specific cards.
1.056 0.234 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.147 0.02376 WUB Control
1.250 0.003 0.00349 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
2.750 0.003 0.00280 Other
2.670 0.946 0.07827 Humans
1.000 0.100 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
2.400 0.010 0.01468 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.000 0.377 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.324 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.250 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
1.000 0.003 0.00559 Other
1.000 0.061 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.010 0.06918 G Tron
1.000 0.041 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.043 0.03215 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.001 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.154 0.00908 Mono U Tron
2.000 0.001 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.041 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.154 0.00908 Mono U Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.039 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.059 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.040 0.01747 WG Tron
1.000 0.002 0.00349 Other
1.364 0.458 0.01677 Vizier Company
2.000 0.700 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
3.857 0.778 0.00629 WUR Storm
1.000 0.444 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.273 0.00769 Elves
2.231 0.009 0.01328 Other
4.000 0.714 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
4.000 1.000 0.01188 Four-Color Prison
1.714 0.538 0.00908 Mono U Tron
4.000 0.667 0.00629 Whir Prison
4.000 0.125 0.01677 Vizier Company
4.000 0.125 0.00559 Merfolk
1.000 0.059 0.01188 Living End
4.000 0.125 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
3.952 0.015 0.01747 Other
1.760 0.223 0.07827 Humans
2.273 0.846 0.00908 Mono U Tron
2.429 0.875 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
1.500 0.261 0.01607 RG Titanshift
3.000 0.500 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
1.000 0.030 0.06918 G Tron
1.000 0.176 0.01188 Living End
2.500 0.182 0.00769 UR Gifts Storm
1.000 0.034 0.02027 Affinity
2.778 0.006 0.01328 Other
1.158 0.396 0.03354 BGx Midrange
3.500 1.000 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
1.750 0.308 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.500 0.00559 Abzan
2.333 0.333 0.00629 Whir Prison
3.000 0.222 0.00629 8-Rack
1.000 0.133 0.01048 Lantern Control
2.000 0.105 0.01328 Hollow One
2.000 0.125 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
2.000 0.020 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 0.013 0.05241 Dredge
1.900 0.014 0.02376 Other
1.730 0.771 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.577 0.426 0.04263 UBR Death's Shadow
1.591 1.000 0.01537 Jund
1.727 0.324 0.02376 WUB Control
2.500 1.000 0.00559 WBRG Death's Shadow
1.800 0.625 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
1.000 0.333 0.01048 Lantern Control
1.200 0.625 0.00559 Abzan
1.250 0.211 0.01328 Hollow One
1.333 0.040 0.05241 Dredge
1.000 0.020 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.077 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
1.600 0.017 0.02795 Other
3.769 1.000 0.00908 Mono U Tron
1.250 0.003 0.00489 Other
1.333 0.004 0.00629 Other
1.833 0.261 0.01607 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
3.200 0.003 0.00419 Other
1.000 0.042 0.03354 BGx Midrange
4.000 1.000 0.05241 Dredge
2.000 0.004 0.00419 Other
1.000 0.008 0.01398 Other
3.078 1.000 0.05381 WU Control
3.059 1.000 0.02376 WUB Control
3.769 1.000 0.00908 UR Control
1.400 0.625 0.00559 Merfolk
3.250 0.235 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.010 0.06848 UR Ascension
3.425 0.028 0.02795 Other
1.000 0.038 0.01817 URG Ascension
4.000 1.000 0.01188 Bogles
1.000 0.013 0.05381 WU Control
1.208 0.786 0.06848 UR Ascension
1.246 0.844 0.05381 WU Control
1.129 0.912 0.02376 WUB Control
1.333 0.577 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.462 1.000 0.00908 UR Control
1.154 0.812 0.01118 UG Infect
1.000 0.364 0.00769 UR Gifts Storm
1.500 0.118 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.154 0.00908 Mono U Tron
1.556 0.031 0.03983 Other
2.846 0.765 0.01188 Mono-Red Phoenix
1.500 0.061 0.06848 UR Ascension
1.333 0.083 0.02516 Burn
2.000 0.231 0.00908 UR Control
2.000 0.105 0.01328 Hollow One
2.000 0.038 0.01817 URG Ascension
2.000 0.059 0.01188 Living End
2.000 0.002 0.00699 Other
1.333 0.188 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.000 1.000 0.00559 WBRG Death's Shadow
2.000 0.048 0.01468 Ad Nauseam
2.000 0.125 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
3.000 0.053 0.01328 Hollow One
2.000 0.002 0.00210 Other
1.800 0.556 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.667 0.002 0.00419 Other
1.000 0.556 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.333 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.001 0.00419 Other
4.000 1.000 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
4.000 1.000 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
2.500 0.003 0.00280 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.182 0.01537 Jund
1.000 0.043 0.01607 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.009 0.07827 Humans
1.500 0.001 0.00140 Other
2.000 1.000 0.04263 UBR Death's Shadow
3.562 1.000 0.03354 BGx Midrange
3.682 1.000 0.01537 Jund
2.857 0.933 0.01048 Lantern Control
3.923 1.000 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
4.000 1.000 0.00629 8-Rack
3.125 1.000 0.00559 Abzan
1.000 0.029 0.02376 WUB Control
4.000 0.020 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
3.207 0.020 0.02795 Other
1.000 0.875 0.00559 WBRG Death's Shadow
1.000 0.029 0.02376 WUB Control
2.000 0.125 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
1.000 1.000 0.01188 Four-Color Prison
1.667 1.000 0.01048 Lantern Control
1.000 1.000 0.00629 Whir Prison
1.000 0.103 0.02027 Affinity
1.000 0.022 0.03215 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.071 0.06848 UR Ascension
2.250 0.235 0.01188 Living End
1.333 0.002 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.865 0.03634 Amulet Titan
2.000 0.013 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.019 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.725 0.833 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.182 0.01537 Jund
1.333 0.375 0.00559 Abzan
2.000 0.020 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
2.500 0.001 0.00559 Other
1.562 0.471 0.02376 WUB Control
1.200 0.104 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.111 0.00629 8-Rack
1.500 0.001 0.00769 Other
1.000 0.100 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.189 0.330 0.07827 Humans
1.917 0.923 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
1.333 0.600 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.417 0.008 0.00978 Other
1.375 0.941 0.02376 WUB Control
1.429 0.875 0.00559 Abzan
1.000 0.400 0.01048 Lantern Control
2.000 0.200 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.250 0.006 0.00769 Other
1.600 0.500 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.088 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.133 0.01048 Lantern Control
1.000 0.077 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.125 0.00559 WBRG Death's Shadow
1.000 0.005 0.00769 Other
3.750 0.500 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.100 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.000 0.013 0.05381 WU Control
1.800 0.007 0.01468 Other
1.312 0.333 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.250 0.182 0.01537 Jund
2.000 0.182 0.00769 Elves
1.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
2.000 0.125 0.00559 Abzan
1.000 0.022 0.03215 Hardened Scales
2.000 0.004 0.00699 Other
3.414 0.991 0.07827 Humans
1.000 0.009 0.07827 Humans
1.222 1.000 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.167 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.733 0.010 0.01398 Other
1.765 0.455 0.07827 Humans
1.714 0.875 0.01677 Vizier Company
2.000 0.900 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
1.167 0.667 0.00629 Kiki Chord
2.333 0.375 0.00559 Abzan
1.000 0.019 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.647 0.012 0.01957 Other
1.923 0.361 0.02516 Burn
1.000 0.167 0.01677 Vizier Company
2.000 0.042 0.03354 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.100 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
2.000 0.009 0.07827 Humans
2.000 0.001 0.00419 Other
3.714 0.412 0.01188 Bogles
4.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
3.429 1.000 0.01468 Ad Nauseam
3.000 1.000 0.01048 Lantern Control
2.909 0.647 0.01188 Bogles
3.250 0.500 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
3.333 0.375 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
2.000 0.026 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
3.200 0.007 0.00908 Other
1.000 0.042 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.045 0.01537 Jund
1.000 0.006 0.00629 Other
2.848 0.917 0.02516 Burn
2.000 0.692 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
3.375 0.006 0.00559 Other
1.250 0.111 0.02516 Burn
1.489 0.610 0.05381 WU Control
1.846 0.765 0.02376 WUB Control
1.333 0.231 0.00908 UR Control
1.636 0.015 0.01817 Other
1.000 0.506 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.235 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.250 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
1.167 0.004 0.00699 Other
1.403 0.805 0.05381 WU Control
1.333 0.353 0.02376 WUB Control
2.000 0.059 0.01188 Living End
1.900 0.007 0.01747 Other
1.000 0.013 0.05381 WU Control
4.000 1.000 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
4.000 0.007 0.00699 Other
2.303 1.000 0.06918 G Tron
2.867 1.000 0.05241 Dredge
2.933 0.978 0.03215 Hardened Scales
2.040 1.000 0.01747 WG Tron
1.091 0.688 0.01118 UG Infect
1.333 0.130 0.01607 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.038 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.045 0.01537 Jund
1.000 0.059 0.01188 Bogles
1.000 0.034 0.02027 Affinity
1.214 0.010 0.01537 Other
1.425 0.948 0.05381 WU Control
1.806 0.912 0.02376 WUB Control
2.000 0.059 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.077 0.00908 UR Control
1.000 0.004 0.00769 Other
1.093 0.701 0.05381 WU Control
1.688 0.923 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.324 0.02376 WUB Control
1.500 0.235 0.01188 Living End
1.250 0.400 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 0.231 0.00908 UR Control
1.000 0.077 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.500 0.250 0.00559 Merfolk
1.000 0.154 0.00908 Mono U Tron
3.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.111 0.00629 Whir Prison
1.000 0.059 0.01188 Four-Color Prison
1.000 0.010 0.06848 UR Ascension
1.458 0.017 0.02655 Other
2.000 0.077 0.00908 Mono U Tron
3.000 0.003 0.00908 Other
1.500 0.154 0.00908 Mono U Tron
3.000 0.059 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.004 0.00489 Other
2.238 0.913 0.01607 RG Titanshift
1.222 0.173 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.021 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.533 0.010 0.01118 Other
1.256 0.506 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.147 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.000 0.117 0.05381 WU Control
2.000 0.100 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.000 0.001 0.00489 Other
1.059 0.981 0.03634 Amulet Titan
2.714 1.000 0.01468 Ad Nauseam
1.000 0.596 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.810 0.01468 Ad Nauseam
2.429 0.875 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
3.333 0.002 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.500 0.03215 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.034 0.02027 Affinity
4.000 1.000 0.01468 Ad Nauseam
3.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.192 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.750 0.003 0.00559 Other
2.000 0.019 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.100 0.007 0.00908 Other
1.000 0.043 0.01607 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.062 0.01118 UG Infect
1.000 0.003 0.00489 Other
1.000 0.135 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.041 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.000 0.019 0.03634 Amulet Titan
3.889 1.000 0.00629 8-Rack
1.000 0.020 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.013 0.05241 Dredge
3.077 1.000 0.00908 Mono U Tron
3.846 1.000 0.00908 UR Control
2.100 0.909 0.00769 UR Gifts Storm
1.000 0.117 0.05381 WU Control
3.667 0.176 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.029 0.02376 WUB Control
4.000 0.028 0.02516 Burn
1.000 0.125 0.00559 Merfolk
3.300 0.021 0.03005 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00280 Other
2.978 0.958 0.03354 BGx Midrange
2.909 1.000 0.01537 Jund
1.176 0.708 0.01677 Vizier Company
2.417 0.245 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 1.000 0.00559 Abzan
1.333 0.667 0.00629 Kiki Chord
2.000 0.455 0.00769 Elves
2.000 0.022 0.03215 Hardened Scales
2.227 0.015 0.02096 Other
1.400 0.625 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.200 0.455 0.00769 Elves
1.600 0.003 0.00419 Other
1.067 0.625 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.182 0.00769 Elves
1.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.100 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.500 0.003 0.00280 Other
1.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.111 0.00629 Kiki Chord
2.667 0.900 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.143 0.875 0.00559 Abzan
2.000 0.042 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.250 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
2.889 0.006 0.00699 Other
1.303 0.295 0.07827 Humans
1.929 0.583 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.500 0.003 0.00699 Other
1.000 0.042 0.03354 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.004 0.00699 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.263 0.247 0.05381 WU Control
1.111 0.092 0.06848 UR Ascension
1.625 0.500 0.01118 UG Infect
1.667 0.375 0.00559 Merfolk
1.000 0.154 0.00908 UR Control
2.000 0.029 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.038 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.000 0.016 0.04263 UBR Death's Shadow
1.615 0.009 0.01537 Other
1.609 0.939 0.06848 UR Ascension
1.409 0.846 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.214 0.875 0.01118 UG Infect
1.846 0.448 0.02027 Affinity
1.286 0.636 0.00769 UR Gifts Storm
1.167 0.115 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.026 0.05381 WU Control
3.000 0.250 0.00559 Merfolk
3.000 0.222 0.00629 WUR Storm
1.000 0.154 0.00908 UR Control
2.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.029 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.077 0.00908 Mono U Tron
1.444 0.013 0.02027 Other
1.024 0.545 0.05381 WU Control
1.231 0.382 0.02376 WUB Control
1.231 1.000 0.00908 UR Control
1.000 0.077 0.00908 Mono U Tron
1.500 0.010 0.01677 Other
1.125 0.262 0.04263 UBR Death's Shadow
1.000 0.692 0.00908 UR Control
1.000 0.078 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.077 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.000 0.029 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.077 0.00908 Mono U Tron
2.000 0.062 0.01118 UG Infect
1.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.000 0.196 0.03215 Hardened Scales
1.571 0.778 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.208 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.312 0.01118 UG Infect
1.000 0.010 0.06918 G Tron
1.000 0.111 0.00629 Whir Prison
1.500 0.003 0.00349 Other
1.348 0.500 0.03215 Hardened Scales
2.353 1.000 0.01188 Four-Color Prison
1.562 1.000 0.01118 UG Infect
1.000 0.800 0.01048 Lantern Control
3.250 0.889 0.00629 Whir Prison
1.200 0.172 0.02027 Affinity
1.000 0.040 0.06918 G Tron
1.000 0.125 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.125 0.00559 Merfolk
2.000 0.077 0.00908 Mono U Tron
1.000 0.009 0.07827 Humans
1.545 0.008 0.01048 Other
3.984 1.000 0.04263 UBR Death's Shadow
3.750 0.003 0.00280 Other
1.571 0.241 0.02027 Affinity
1.000 0.001 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.091 0.00769 UR Gifts Storm
1.000 0.111 0.00629 WUR Storm
1.000 0.111 0.00629 Whir Prison
1.200 0.003 0.00419 Other
4.000 1.000 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
4.000 1.000 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
3.714 0.010 0.01118 Other
2.059 0.859 0.06918 G Tron
1.875 0.640 0.01747 WG Tron
3.000 0.154 0.00908 Mono U Tron
1.429 0.005 0.01048 Other
4.000 1.000 0.04263 UBR Death's Shadow
2.583 1.000 0.03354 BGx Midrange
2.429 0.955 0.01537 Jund
2.933 1.000 0.01048 Lantern Control
3.154 1.000 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
3.444 1.000 0.00629 8-Rack
4.000 1.000 0.00559 WBRG Death's Shadow
2.875 1.000 0.00559 Abzan
2.500 0.059 0.02376 WUB Control
2.000 0.020 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 0.048 0.01468 Ad Nauseam
3.043 0.016 0.02027 Other
1.700 0.588 0.02376 WUB Control
1.800 0.952 0.01468 Ad Nauseam
1.933 0.200 0.05241 Dredge
1.769 0.448 0.02027 Affinity
3.154 0.684 0.01328 Hollow One
1.000 0.692 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
2.000 0.364 0.00769 Elves
2.000 0.176 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.136 0.01537 Jund
2.000 0.125 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
2.000 0.021 0.03354 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.019 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.850 0.014 0.02655 Other
1.200 0.200 0.01747 WG Tron
1.000 0.010 0.06918 G Tron
2.167 0.970 0.06918 G Tron
1.870 0.920 0.01747 WG Tron
2.667 0.176 0.01188 Living End
2.000 0.043 0.01607 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.019 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.250 0.006 0.00629 Other
4.000 0.900 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
3.818 0.008 0.00908 Other
1.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.195 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.235 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.002 0.00559 Other
1.273 0.714 0.05381 WU Control
1.071 0.412 0.02376 WUB Control
1.857 0.005 0.00769 Other
2.000 1.000 0.06918 G Tron
2.000 1.000 0.01747 WG Tron
1.462 1.000 0.00908 Mono U Tron
1.444 0.006 0.00699 Other
1.000 0.120 0.01747 WG Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00210 Other
1.400 0.500 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
2.500 0.083 0.01677 Vizier Company
2.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
4.000 0.966 0.02027 Affinity
1.000 0.200 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.200 0.003 0.00419 Other
1.000 0.146 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.000 0.062 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.045 0.01537 Jund
1.769 0.265 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.600 0.385 0.00908 Mono U Tron
1.333 0.030 0.06918 G Tron
1.000 0.022 0.03215 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.040 0.01747 WG Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00210 Other
1.435 0.232 0.06918 G Tron
1.462 0.265 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.280 0.01747 WG Tron
1.000 0.043 0.03215 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.125 0.00559 Merfolk
1.000 0.002 0.00280 Other
3.313 1.000 0.06918 G Tron
3.360 1.000 0.01747 WG Tron
1.923 1.000 0.00908 Mono U Tron
2.857 0.005 0.00489 Other
1.000 0.125 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
1.500 0.001 0.00210 Other
Card fractions: This is averaged over the whole meta and is the fraction of decks that play the card in the maindeck/sideboard without taking into account how many copies they play. These give a general idea of what cards to expect from a randomly chosen deck. Maindeck: The top cards are Thoughtseize (14.68%), Inquisition of Kozilek (14.40%), Cryptic Command (12.16%), Ugin, the Spirit Dragon (10.20%), Wurmcoil Engine (10.06%), Scavenging Ooze (9.71%), Negate (7.83%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Thoughtseize (15.56%), Inquisition of Kozilek (14.36%), Cryptic Command (9.91%), Scavenging Ooze (9.83%), Chalice of the Void (7.86%), Remand (6.92%), Wurmcoil Engine (6.84%).
Hate cards by meta decks: Go here if you want to see what kind of hate cards specific decks play.
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Meta composition: This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name. Some of these deck names might be fuzzy, so the results are approximate.
This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name.
7.83% Humans
6.92% G Tron
6.85% UR Ascension
5.38% WU Control
5.24% Dredge
4.26% UBR Death's Shadow
3.63% Amulet Titan
3.42% Eldrazi Aggro
3.35% BGx Midrange
3.21% Hardened Scales
2.52% Burn
2.38% WUB Control
2.03% Affinity
1.82% URG Ascension
1.75% WG Tron
1.68% Vizier Company
1.61% RG Titanshift
1.54% Jund
1.47% Ad Nauseam
1.33% Hollow One
1.19% Living End
1.19% Mono-Red Phoenix
1.19% Four-Color Prison
1.19% Bogles
1.12% UG Infect
1.05% Lantern Control
0.91% Mardu Pyromancer
0.91% Mono U Tron
0.91% UR Control
0.77% Elves
0.77% UR Gifts Storm
0.70% Eldrazi and Taxes
0.70% Goodstuff 3c
0.63% 8-Rack
0.63% WUR Storm
0.63% Whir Prison
0.63% Kiki Chord
0.56% Grishoalbrand
0.56% Merfolk
0.56% WBRG Death's Shadow
0.56% Goryo's Breach
0.56% Abzan
0.49% UBG Control
0.49% Death and Taxes
0.49% Bant Spirits
0.49% UBR Control
0.42% Mill
0.42% BG Tron
0.42% Jeskai
0.35% Titan Breach
0.35% BRG Death's Shadow
0.28% Orzhov Eldrazi
0.28% Restore Balance
0.28% UR Delver
0.28% Abzan Company
0.21% Rakdos Prison
0.21% Eldrazi Tron
0.21% NeoBrand
0.21% Free-Win Red
0.21% WUG Infect
0.21% 8-Whack
0.21% Orzhov Superfriends
0.21% WRG Hatebears
0.21% WRG Titanshift
0.21% URG Gifts Storm
0.21% Glittering Jeskai Ascendancy
0.21% Azorius Spirits
0.14% WU
0.14% Domain Zoo
0.14% U Control
0.14% Abzan Toolbox
0.14% Gruul Land Destruction
0.14% Selesnya Company
0.14% Wilted Abzan
0.14% WUG
0.14% G/W Taxes
0.14% U/B Faeries
0.14% WG Hatebears
0.14% WUR Ascension
0.14% Izzet Phoenix
0.14% Bridgevine
0.14% TitanShift
0.14% Devoted Company
0.14% Junk Hatebears
0.14% WUG Control
0.14% Mono-Red Prison
0.14% Gifts 3c
0.14% WUBRG
0.07% Temur Tooth and Nail
0.07% UBRG Scapeshift
0.07% Whir Thopter Sword
0.07% Esper Eldrazi Blink
0.07% UBG Death's Shadow
0.07% URG Delver
0.07% UBR Delver
0.07% Jund Shamans
0.07% WUBG Control
0.07% Soulflayer Surprise
0.07% Zoo
0.07% Abzan Midrange
0.07% Mardu Hollow One
0.07% WURG Storm
0.07% WUBR Storm
0.07% Esper Tempo
0.07% Death Cloud
0.07% UB Death's Shadow
0.07% Blue-White Blink
0.07% Black-White Tokens
0.07% Mono-Green Land Destruction
0.07% WUB Death's Shadow
0.07% WUR Kiki-Resto
0.07% Mono-Blue Burn
0.07% Blue-White Flicker
0.07% Jeskai Through the Breach
0.07% RG Tron
0.07% Goryo's Breaching Rites
0.07% WURG Scapeshift
0.07% White-Black Tokens
0.07% Bant Nexus Reclamation
0.07% UR Storm
0.07% Orzhov Tokens
0.07% Mono-Red Prowess
0.07% Simic Nexus Reclamation
0.07% Tezzerator Prison
0.07% Enduring Ideal
0.07% URG Control
0.07% Soul Sisters
0.07% UBRG Death's Shadow
0.07% Cremator Evolution
0.07% WU Storm
0.07% BG Infect
0.07% Martyr Proc
0.07% Blue-Green Hardened Scales
0.07% WURG Kiki-Resto
0.07% Temur Moon
0.07% Naya Nahiri
0.07% WUG Storm
Enchantments:
1.333 0.002 0.00210 Other
2.000 0.009 0.07827 Humans
1.000 0.131 0.04263 UBR Death's Shadow
2.143 0.143 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.143 0.093 0.05241 Dredge
1.429 0.318 0.01537 Jund
1.429 0.071 0.06848 UR Ascension
3.500 0.231 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
2.000 0.125 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
1.600 0.007 0.01328 Other
1.000 0.111 0.00629 Whir Prison
3.600 0.294 0.01188 Living End
4.000 0.003 0.00280 Other
2.000 0.042 0.03354 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.222 0.00629 8-Rack
4.000 0.021 0.03354 BGx Midrange
3.000 0.004 0.00419 Other
1.750 0.444 0.00629 8-Rack
1.333 0.062 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.103 0.02027 Affinity
1.000 0.002 0.00349 Other
2.000 0.923 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.041 0.06848 UR Ascension
1.000 0.115 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.667 0.231 0.00908 UR Control
2.000 0.125 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
1.000 0.059 0.01188 Living End
3.083 0.008 0.00978 Other
1.663 0.847 0.06848 UR Ascension
1.450 0.769 0.01817 URG Ascension
2.412 1.000 0.01188 Mono-Red Phoenix
1.083 0.923 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
1.727 0.846 0.00908 UR Control
1.333 0.310 0.02027 Affinity
1.857 0.875 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
2.167 0.750 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
1.833 0.353 0.01188 Living End
1.500 0.316 0.01328 Hollow One
1.600 0.102 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.028 0.02516 Burn
1.000 0.125 0.00559 Merfolk
1.250 0.014 0.02027 Other
4.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.000 0.020 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.184 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.001 0.00280 Other
2.000 0.028 0.02516 Burn
1.000 0.104 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.600 0.227 0.01537 Jund
1.000 0.273 0.00769 Elves
1.667 0.125 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.125 0.00559 Abzan
2.000 0.003 0.00419 Other
2.000 0.167 0.02516 Burn
4.000 0.061 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.043 0.01607 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.125 0.00559 WBRG Death's Shadow
1.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.080 0.01747 WG Tron
1.000 0.013 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.038 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.100 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.013 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.833 0.261 0.01607 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
3.200 0.003 0.00419 Other
1.000 0.042 0.03354 BGx Midrange
4.000 1.000 0.01188 Bogles
1.545 0.857 0.05381 WU Control
1.083 0.353 0.02376 WUB Control
1.714 0.005 0.00908 Other
1.000 0.500 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.039 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.500 0.003 0.00839 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.059 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.059 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.111 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.001 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.708 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.889 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.300 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 0.182 0.00769 Elves
1.000 0.100 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.375 0.011 0.01468 Other
4.000 0.944 0.02516 Burn
3.889 0.006 0.00699 Other
3.000 0.176 0.01188 Mono-Red Phoenix
4.000 0.028 0.02516 Burn
1.000 0.001 0.00489 Other
1.000 0.069 0.02027 Affinity
1.000 0.034 0.02027 Affinity
4.000 1.000 0.01188 Bogles
1.000 0.022 0.03215 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.370 0.03215 Hardened Scales
1.947 0.655 0.02027 Affinity
1.087 0.793 0.02027 Affinity
3.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00419 Other
1.000 0.222 0.00629 WUR Storm
1.500 0.828 0.02027 Affinity
1.000 0.600 0.01048 Lantern Control
1.000 0.294 0.01188 Four-Color Prison
1.500 0.444 0.00629 WUR Storm
1.000 0.111 0.00629 Whir Prison
1.500 0.001 0.00140 Other
3.500 0.001 0.00140 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00280 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.882 1.000 0.01188 Bogles
4.000 1.000 0.03215 Hardened Scales
4.000 0.034 0.02027 Affinity
4.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.938 0.615 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.625 0.154 0.03634 Amulet Titan
4.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
2.118 1.000 0.01188 Bogles
4.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
3.000 0.002 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.118 0.01188 Bogles
1.000 0.059 0.01188 Bogles
1.000 0.154 0.00908 UR Control
1.000 0.020 0.06848 UR Ascension
1.000 0.038 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.000 0.111 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.000 0.001 0.00489 Other
2.000 0.565 0.01607 RG Titanshift
3.714 0.412 0.01188 Bogles
4.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
3.429 1.000 0.01468 Ad Nauseam
3.000 1.000 0.01048 Lantern Control
2.909 0.647 0.01188 Bogles
3.250 0.500 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
3.333 0.375 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
2.000 0.026 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
3.200 0.007 0.00908 Other
4.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
2.000 0.077 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
4.000 0.021 0.03354 BGx Midrange
3.000 0.001 0.00210 Other
1.914 0.773 0.05241 Dredge
2.444 0.443 0.04263 UBR Death's Shadow
2.789 0.388 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
3.692 1.000 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
3.167 0.250 0.03354 BGx Midrange
3.583 0.632 0.01328 Hollow One
2.364 0.500 0.01537 Jund
3.500 0.889 0.00629 8-Rack
2.400 0.051 0.06848 UR Ascension
3.750 0.235 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.300 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
3.000 0.250 0.00559 Grishoalbrand
2.000 0.083 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.077 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.000 0.250 0.00559 Goryo's Breach
4.000 0.125 0.00559 Abzan
3.000 0.077 0.00908 Mono U Tron
1.000 0.009 0.07827 Humans
2.625 0.011 0.02236 Other
4.000 0.059 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.182 0.00769 Elves
1.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.000 0.059 0.01188 Bogles
1.000 0.001 0.00419 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
4.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00559 Other
4.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
1.000 0.021 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.020 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
4.000 1.000 0.01468 Ad Nauseam
3.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.250 0.118 0.02376 WUB Control
1.000 0.026 0.05381 WU Control
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.444 0.391 0.01607 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.001 0.00349 Other
2.258 0.990 0.06848 UR Ascension
2.320 0.962 0.01817 URG Ascension
2.000 0.002 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.091 0.00769 UR Gifts Storm
1.000 0.038 0.01817 URG Ascension
2.000 0.010 0.06848 UR Ascension
1.000 0.087 0.01607 RG Titanshift
3.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
4.000 1.000 0.01188 Bogles
1.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
2.833 0.078 0.05381 WU Control
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.746 0.818 0.05381 WU Control
2.133 0.833 0.02516 Burn
1.750 0.966 0.02027 Affinity
2.062 0.941 0.01188 Bogles
2.308 0.265 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
2.273 0.733 0.01048 Lantern Control
2.400 1.000 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
2.429 0.700 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.118 0.02376 WUB Control
1.333 0.273 0.00769 Elves
1.667 0.027 0.07827 Humans
2.000 0.042 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.222 0.00629 Kiki Chord
1.500 0.080 0.01747 WG Tron
2.250 0.034 0.04752 Other
1.000 0.111 0.00629 Kiki Chord
2.000 0.001 0.00349 Other
1.000 0.111 0.00629 Kiki Chord
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.013 0.05381 WU Control
3.000 0.002 0.00280 Other
1.111 0.117 0.05381 WU Control
1.333 0.300 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 0.100 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.059 0.01188 Bogles
1.250 0.003 0.00769 Other
2.000 0.040 0.01747 WG Tron
4.000 0.028 0.02516 Burn
1.636 0.647 0.01188 Bogles
1.000 0.020 0.06918 G Tron
2.000 0.019 0.03634 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.040 0.01747 WG Tron
1.154 0.338 0.05381 WU Control
1.500 0.235 0.02376 WUB Control
1.333 0.333 0.00629 Whir Prison
1.824 0.012 0.02236 Other
1.500 0.375 0.01118 UG Infect
1.500 0.364 0.00769 Elves
1.000 0.022 0.03215 Hardened Scales
4.000 1.000 0.00629 8-Rack
1.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.040 0.01747 WG Tron
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
3.412 1.000 0.01188 Bogles
1.000 0.588 0.01188 Bogles
1.500 0.118 0.01188 Bogles
1.706 1.000 0.01188 Bogles
1.000 0.001 0.00489 Other
2.900 0.130 0.05381 WU Control
3.500 1.000 0.00559 Merfolk
2.000 0.038 0.01817 URG Ascension
3.000 0.001 0.00140 Other
2.500 0.308 0.00908 Mono U Tron
2.000 0.038 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.000 0.013 0.05381 WU Control
1.000 0.125 0.00559 Merfolk
2.000 0.010 0.06848 UR Ascension
2.750 0.003 0.00699 Other
1.411 0.727 0.05381 WU Control
1.125 0.471 0.02376 WUB Control
1.929 0.824 0.01188 Bogles
1.692 0.265 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.889 0.900 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
2.250 0.800 0.00699 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.500 1.000 0.00559 Abzan
1.400 0.139 0.02516 Burn
1.250 0.167 0.01677 Vizier Company
2.000 0.027 0.07827 Humans
1.000 0.182 0.00769 Elves
1.500 0.154 0.00908 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.042 0.03354 BGx Midrange
1.800 0.035 0.04962 Other
1.667 0.375 0.00559 Merfolk
1.000 0.062 0.03354 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.001 0.00210 Other
1.000 0.051 0.06848 UR Ascension
1.000 0.077 0.01817 URG Ascension
1.000 0.118 0.01188 Bogles
4.000 0.006 0.00559 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.111 0.00629 8-Rack
2.000 0.042 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.176 0.01188 Living End
1.000 0.062 0.01118 UG Infect
1.167 0.375 0.01118 UG Infect
1.000 0.001 0.00210 Other
3.400 0.007 0.00699 Other
2.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.455 0.224 0.03424 Eldrazi Aggro
1.333 0.250 0.01677 Vizier Company
1.000 0.400 0.00699 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 0.182 0.00769 Elves
1.000 0.034 0.02027 Affinity
1.250 0.008 0.01537 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00070 Other
1.000 0.067 0.01048 Lantern Control
Maindeck: The top cards are Pyromancer Ascension (8.74%), Detention Sphere (5.94%), Search for Azcanta (3.77%), Hardened Scales (3.35%), Eidolon of the Great Revel (3.00%), Blood Moon (2.52%), Hive Mind (2.24%).
Sideboard: The top cards are Rest in Peace (16.91%), Blood Moon (14.26%), Leyline of the Void (13.91%), Stony Silence (13.42%), Leyline of Sanctity (4.68%), Alpine Moon (3.84%), Eidolon of Rhetoric (3.28%).
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
I think which enchantment hate, if any, to play is one of the most interesting aspects of Burn right now, mostly because a lot of the other questions have been 100% solved. It's definitely a metagame call, but I'm assuming you're talking about the general metagame. Elcon posts monthly Burn hate updates, which I highly recommend reviewing and basing your decisions off of. The big ones we have to worry about are Leyline of Sanctity and Worship. Bogles and Ad Nauseum both play other enchantments that are hard for us to deal with, but those matchups are so difficult it could be argued it's best to accept the loss versus them if those are the only reasons to play enchantment hate.
Neither Leyline or Worship are very popular right now. So, it might be the right call to give up enchantment hate in favor of something like Smash to Smithereens to get damage in. At the same time, you have to accept that if you do see Leyline or Worship, there's a strong chance you've just lost (playing Bump in the Night and Gonti's Machinations helps versus Worship, and Atarka's Command and Gonti's Machinations helps against Leyline). This also means you don't have to splash for enchantment hate, although pretty much all competitive Burn decks play at least one other color anyways for unconditional removal of some sort.
It might be that the correct call is to give up enchantment hate, but I think opportunity cost is another valuable thing to consider. How much would giving three damage up in exchange for Wear/Tear, or one damage up in exchange for Revelry/Cindervines, really hurt the deck? If we assume that the fastest we can consistently kill is turn four, we intend to see eleven cards of our deck. Seven of those cards being burn spells lets us deal 21 damage, and we craft a manabase optimizing our chances to see 2-3 lands throughout the game. That means we have 9-10 of those cards spoken for, so theoretically we should be able to afford at least one card that doesn't deal damage, but helps our gameplan in a significant way (such as Wear/Tear for a Leyline). This could mean that even if enchantments aren't incredibly popular, it's still worth hedging our bets and packing them in the sideboard on the off chance we see them, since mathematically we should be able to afford it.
BUT that in itself is wrong, because it doesn't take disruption into account. Inquisition of Kozilek? There goes your one non-damage card. Kitchen Finks? There goes your one non-damage card. Mulliganing? There goes your one non-damage card. There's so many ways to band-aid our initial kill, that I think we have to use those extra slots as insurance anyways. Having said that, though, Consistency is the other great strength of Burn, and it doesn't matter if we can't turn 4 kill if we keep drawing Lava Spikes to close the game out. Disruption makes us stumble, but a clock makes us lose, so then the question becomes "exactly how much, mathematically, does it matter to not be able to kill on turn 4?" and I have absolutely no idea how to answer that.
Bogles, you are honestly better off hoping they stumble a bit in their opening hand and playing a deflecting palm or ensnaring bridge. Ad Nauseaum? Well you can't win them all.
My personal hope? I want a burn finisher, an "oh *****" card in modern horizons. A sulfuric vortex reprint would be nice, though it's far more likely they slap it onto a 2/3 creature for 1RR instead (I'd take a 1/4 that doesn't die to bolts). Barbarian ring would be cool, but I don't see threshold coming back. Price of Progress for 2R? That's definitely doable, though it would mean changing the mana a bit to keep self-inflicted damage low.
To go in another direction, I do think faithless looting will eat a ban at the next update. Dunno if its right or wrong, but I see it coming.
The following is a lot of data that's tough to digest, but it might be helpful to you to know what kind of lifegain to expect at various times, what counterspells people are playing, and what discard spells people are playing. This analysis comes from MTGGoldfish data with some cleaning procedure applied to it to try to clean up any bad deck names. I then go through these deck lists and find instances of "counter target", "lifelink", and "gain N life"/"gains N life" in the card text. On top of that, I search for Leyline of Sanctity, Oketra's Last Mercy, Chalice of the Void, Phyrexian Unlife, and Spellskite. The deck population is 1170 decks. Cards that show up less than 0.5% of the time are not printed, and I've also removed some cards that don't affect us like Disdainful Stroke and Ceremonious Rejection.
Per card splits: Go here if you want to find a list of what decks play specific cards.
Maindeck: The top cards are Thoughtseize (15.56%), Inquisition of Kozilek (14.36%), Cryptic Command (9.91%), Scavenging Ooze (9.83%), Chalice of the Void (7.86%), Remand (6.92%), Wurmcoil Engine (6.84%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Thoughtseize (15.30%), Inquisition of Kozilek (14.59%), Scavenging Ooze (11.85%), Cryptic Command (10.70%), Chalice of the Void (8.93%), Lightning Helix (8.05%), Remand (7.96%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Collective Brutality (17.60%), Dispel (17.33%), Nature's Claim (15.83%), Negate (11.49%), Knight of Autumn (9.64%), Spell Pierce (9.64%), Dragon's Claw (8.40%).
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name.
5.56% Dredge
4.87% Humans
4.44% Burn
4.19% G Tron
4.19% UR Ascension
4.02% WU Control
3.93% Izzet Phoenix
3.68% UBR Death's Shadow
3.33% BGx Midrange
3.16% Affinity
3.16% Amulet Titan
2.05% Ad Nauseam
1.97% Hardened Scales
1.97% Goodstuff 3c
1.88% RG Titanshift
1.88% Eldrazi and Taxes
1.79% Eldrazi Aggro
1.79% Living End
1.79% Jund
1.62% URG Ascension
1.54% Mono-Red Phoenix
1.45% WBRG Death's Shadow
1.45% Merfolk
1.28% Hollow One
1.20% Whir Prison
1.20% Four-Color Prison
1.20% WG Tron
1.11% Vizier Company
1.11% UR Gifts Storm
0.94% UR Control
0.94% Bogles
0.85% WUR Control
0.85% Mardu Pyromancer
0.85% Mono U Tron
0.85% Restore Balance
0.85% Azorius Spirits
0.77% Martyr Proc
0.68% UG Infect
0.68% Abzan
0.60% Grishoalbrand
0.60% Lantern Control
0.60% UBG Control
0.60% Jeskai
0.51% Eldrazi Tron
0.51% Elves
0.51% Free-Win Red
0.51% Mill
0.43% UB Control
0.43% Ur Phoenix
0.34% Temur Tooth and Nail
0.34% 8-Rack
0.34% WUR Storm
0.34% URG Gifts Storm
0.34% Junk Hatebears
0.34% UBR Control
0.34% Glittering Jeskai Ascendancy
0.34% BRG Death's Shadow
0.26% Death and Taxes
0.26% Orzhov Eldrazi
0.26% Jeskai Ascendancy
0.26% Mono-Green Midrange
0.26% Hardened Modular
0.26% Orzhov Tokens
0.26% UBRG Death's Shadow
0.26% Mono-Red Prison
0.26% Blue Moon
0.17% WUB Control
0.17% Rakdos Prison
0.17% WUBR Control
0.17% UR Delver
0.17% WURG Copycat
0.17% WUB
0.17% UBR Delver
0.17% Gruul Land Destruction
0.17% Wilted Abzan
0.17% 8-Whack
0.17% WUG Hatebears
0.17% Death Cloud
0.17% Goryo's Breach
0.17% WG Hatebears
0.17% Monored Phoenix
0.17% Sultai Midrange
0.17% URG Titanshift
0.17% Mono-r Phoenix
0.17% Boros Prison
0.17% Temur Eldritch Kiki
0.17% WURG Knightfall
0.17% R Storm
0.09% Blue-White Emeria Lock
0.09% Black-White Zombies
0.09% Dimir Whir
0.09% Titan Breach
0.09% Uw Spirits
0.09% Uw Miricles
0.09% BRG Titanshift
0.09% UBG Death's Shadow
0.09% Hollow Phoenix
0.09% Green-White Land Destruction
0.09% Abzan Midrange
0.09% UG Control
0.09% Gruul Stomping Rhythm
0.09% Nahiri Prison
0.09% Tokens
0.09% Artifact Charge Ramp
0.09% Control
0.09% Bw Token
0.09% WRG Titanshift
0.09% UB Death's Shadow
0.09% Untitled
0.09% WRG Hatebears
0.09% Goodstuff 4c
0.09% BG Tron
0.09% Blue-White Flicker
0.09% Colorless Prison
0.09% Ponza
0.09% Mono-Green Tron
0.09% UR Storm
0.09% Blue-White Blink
0.09% Mono-red Phoenix
0.09% Bant Company
0.09% Jeskai Midrange
0.09% Goryo's Phoenix
0.09% Jeskai Spirits
0.09% URG Scapeshift
0.09% Gruul Ponza
0.09% Bg Deathcloud
0.09% Cocowisp
0.09% Azorius Blink
0.09% Black-Red Pack
0.09% Abzan Superfriends
0.09% Grinding Station
0.09% Lanternless
0.09% Through the Breach
0.09% Rw Prison
0.09% URG Control
0.09% Naya Zoo
0.09% Sultai Artifact Prison
0.09% Orzhov Midrange
0.09% Mono-White Walkers
0.09% Orzhov Kaya
0.09% Kiki Chord
0.09% WURG Kiki-Resto
0.09% Naya Nahiri
0.09% Semblance Anvil
Enchantments:
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Link to previous month: February (apologies if it goes to the wrong spot on the page, it's post 2165).
Finale of Promise
XRR
Sorcery
You may cast up to one target instant card and/or up to one target sorcery card from your graveyard each with converted mana cost X or less without paying their mana costs. If a card cast this way would be put into your graveyard this turn, exile it instead. If X is 10 or more, copy each of those spells twice. You may choose new targets for the copies.
T1: Swiftspear -> 19
T2: Bolt + Spike, pumping Swiftspear +2/+2 -> 10
T3: Finale X=1, targeting Bolt and Spike, pumping Swiftspear +3/+3 -> 0
Is this not at the very least testable? Possibly in spell-heavy Mono R build?
It's a cool card and it might have a home in Modern casting things like Living End, but it's not a Burn card.
Frenzy-Affinity-Ghost Quarter-Rock-Tokens- RGWPhyrexian Zoo- WVial KnightsStandard:
BW Knights(Rotated)Pioneer: RW Knights - BW Rally Zombies - UW Heroes
Commander:WUG
Jenara, Asura of War- WGSigarda, Host of HeronsCasualties of economicsLegacy: Good-night, sweet prince. Mono-R Burn
Before someone brings up Shard Volley, you can't play this on T3 after playing a Shard Volley and therefore need 4 lands. You're also going to lose one of them when you re-cast Shard Volley because you have to pay mandatory additional costs even when you cast something "without paying its mana cost".
"We" play two one - CMC sorceries but I should have looked at the casting costs of the Instants before commenting. Finale of Promise is not likely to be played on curve and isn't significantly better than the other "good top-decks" that get bandied about from time to time.
I didn't realize that so many of the cards that are usually cast for one-mana aren't actually one-CMC. Lessons learned.
Frenzy-Affinity-Ghost Quarter-Rock-Tokens- RGWPhyrexian Zoo- WVial KnightsStandard:
BW Knights(Rotated)Pioneer: RW Knights - BW Rally Zombies - UW Heroes
Commander:WUG
Jenara, Asura of War- WGSigarda, Host of HeronsCasualties of economicsLegacy: Good-night, sweet prince. Mono-R Burn
I really hope that WotC has some internal data similar to this from MTGO and they don't institute the London Mulligan. I don't like how disproportionately it affects decks, and I especially don't want existing decks banned that are reasonable under the current rules solely because they are unreasonable under the new rules.
The problem is that eternal formats already have the tools to exchange randomness for consistency. Everything from brainstorm to ancient stirrings to demonic tutor to fetchlands are things MtG players have been using for years. You add the ability to sculpt the ideal hand in a mulligan situation? Yeah, you've cranked it up to eleven. Personally? I'd be sleeving up infect for a few weeks, preying on the unfair decks with one of the few archetypes capable of turn 2 and 3 wins. Maybe storm, I liked storm.
The more likely result? The modern PT will be an absolute dumpster fire, and the mulligan rule will remain as other consistency tools are banned. WOTC already said they don't want different mulligan rules for different formats.
I was just wondering why this hasn't been done before. thank you
Burn
The following is a lot of data that's tough to digest, but it might be helpful to you to know what kind of lifegain to expect at various times, what counterspells people are playing, and what discard spells people are playing. This analysis comes from MTGGoldfish data with some cleaning procedure applied to it to try to clean up any bad deck names. I then go through these deck lists and find instances of "counter target", "lifelink", and "gain N life"/"gains N life" in the card text. On top of that, I search for Leyline of Sanctity, Oketra's Last Mercy, Chalice of the Void, Phyrexian Unlife, and Spellskite. The deck population is 1431 decks. Cards that show up less than 0.5% of the time are not printed, and I've also removed some cards that don't affect us like Disdainful Stroke and Ceremonious Rejection.
Per card splits: Go here if you want to find a list of what decks play specific cards.
Maindeck: The top cards are Thoughtseize (14.68%), Inquisition of Kozilek (14.40%), Cryptic Command (12.16%), Ugin, the Spirit Dragon (10.20%), Wurmcoil Engine (10.06%), Scavenging Ooze (9.71%), Negate (7.83%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Thoughtseize (15.56%), Inquisition of Kozilek (14.36%), Cryptic Command (9.91%), Scavenging Ooze (9.83%), Chalice of the Void (7.86%), Remand (6.92%), Wurmcoil Engine (6.84%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Dispel (19.66%), Nature's Claim (16.07%), Collective Brutality (14.96%), Spell Pierce (14.53%), Negate (13.16%), Knight of Autumn (8.97%), Dragon's Claw (8.38%).
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name.
7.83% Humans
6.92% G Tron
6.85% UR Ascension
5.38% WU Control
5.24% Dredge
4.26% UBR Death's Shadow
3.63% Amulet Titan
3.42% Eldrazi Aggro
3.35% BGx Midrange
3.21% Hardened Scales
2.52% Burn
2.38% WUB Control
2.03% Affinity
1.82% URG Ascension
1.75% WG Tron
1.68% Vizier Company
1.61% RG Titanshift
1.54% Jund
1.47% Ad Nauseam
1.33% Hollow One
1.19% Living End
1.19% Mono-Red Phoenix
1.19% Four-Color Prison
1.19% Bogles
1.12% UG Infect
1.05% Lantern Control
0.91% Mardu Pyromancer
0.91% Mono U Tron
0.91% UR Control
0.77% Elves
0.77% UR Gifts Storm
0.70% Eldrazi and Taxes
0.70% Goodstuff 3c
0.63% 8-Rack
0.63% WUR Storm
0.63% Whir Prison
0.63% Kiki Chord
0.56% Grishoalbrand
0.56% Merfolk
0.56% WBRG Death's Shadow
0.56% Goryo's Breach
0.56% Abzan
0.49% UBG Control
0.49% Death and Taxes
0.49% Bant Spirits
0.49% UBR Control
0.42% Mill
0.42% BG Tron
0.42% Jeskai
0.35% Titan Breach
0.35% BRG Death's Shadow
0.28% Orzhov Eldrazi
0.28% Restore Balance
0.28% UR Delver
0.28% Abzan Company
0.21% Rakdos Prison
0.21% Eldrazi Tron
0.21% NeoBrand
0.21% Free-Win Red
0.21% WUG Infect
0.21% 8-Whack
0.21% Orzhov Superfriends
0.21% WRG Hatebears
0.21% WRG Titanshift
0.21% URG Gifts Storm
0.21% Glittering Jeskai Ascendancy
0.21% Azorius Spirits
0.14% WU
0.14% Domain Zoo
0.14% U Control
0.14% Abzan Toolbox
0.14% Gruul Land Destruction
0.14% Selesnya Company
0.14% Wilted Abzan
0.14% WUG
0.14% G/W Taxes
0.14% U/B Faeries
0.14% WG Hatebears
0.14% WUR Ascension
0.14% Izzet Phoenix
0.14% Bridgevine
0.14% TitanShift
0.14% Devoted Company
0.14% Junk Hatebears
0.14% WUG Control
0.14% Mono-Red Prison
0.14% Gifts 3c
0.14% WUBRG
0.07% Temur Tooth and Nail
0.07% UBRG Scapeshift
0.07% Whir Thopter Sword
0.07% Esper Eldrazi Blink
0.07% UBG Death's Shadow
0.07% URG Delver
0.07% UBR Delver
0.07% Jund Shamans
0.07% WUBG Control
0.07% Soulflayer Surprise
0.07% Zoo
0.07% Abzan Midrange
0.07% Mardu Hollow One
0.07% WURG Storm
0.07% WUBR Storm
0.07% Esper Tempo
0.07% Death Cloud
0.07% UB Death's Shadow
0.07% Blue-White Blink
0.07% Black-White Tokens
0.07% Mono-Green Land Destruction
0.07% WUB Death's Shadow
0.07% WUR Kiki-Resto
0.07% Mono-Blue Burn
0.07% Blue-White Flicker
0.07% Jeskai Through the Breach
0.07% RG Tron
0.07% Goryo's Breaching Rites
0.07% WURG Scapeshift
0.07% White-Black Tokens
0.07% Bant Nexus Reclamation
0.07% UR Storm
0.07% Orzhov Tokens
0.07% Mono-Red Prowess
0.07% Simic Nexus Reclamation
0.07% Tezzerator Prison
0.07% Enduring Ideal
0.07% URG Control
0.07% Soul Sisters
0.07% UBRG Death's Shadow
0.07% Cremator Evolution
0.07% WU Storm
0.07% BG Infect
0.07% Martyr Proc
0.07% Blue-Green Hardened Scales
0.07% WURG Kiki-Resto
0.07% Temur Moon
0.07% Naya Nahiri
0.07% WUG Storm
Enchantments:
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Link to previous month: March 2019 (apologies if it goes to the wrong spot on the page, it's post 2196).