This thread was marked as Locked by Torpf.
Quote from Earthbound21 »
I will not be replying to rebuttals that are not at least as fleshed out as my assertion. If you're grown up enough to use the internet, you are grown up enough to understand that posturing, nit picking, and corner cases are not enough to constitute a rebuttal to an argument. You will attack my argument in full or you will not be getting a response from me.
Quote from idSurge »We got lists for those decks yet?
Quote from Thorshammer813 »Bogles! I always liked that one.
Quote from idSurge »You think there's a chance of Jace?
As much as I hope so, I cannot hold out hope.
Quote from NRWGN »
Also, isn't the title for this thread wrong? B&R isn't 2/10
Quote from FoodChainGoblins »I probably should have not shuffled my library in a way that my Round 1 opponent would shuffle me to all land or no land.
Quote from ktkenshinx »I do agree that Lantern is probably the best deck in Modern. Incidentally, this is for the exact same reason many other decks got banned: it probably has the matchup spectrum that is closest to 50/50 across the board. Are you a player who wants to leverage their skill as much as possible in Modern? Lantern is probably the deck for you. It has a high skill floor and a super high skill ceiling, which is why I think we are going to see more of the best Magic and Modern players move towards it this year. That's not to say the deck isn't beatable. I just think that if we plotted its MTGO matchups over a large dataset, it would have the most matchups that are 50/50+ of all top-tier decks, and I think its sub-50/50 matchups would still be closer to 50/50 (or fewer overall) than other decks.
This trajectory could become problematic for Lantern if it takes off in a big way. This could arise from at least two reasons. First, it is possible that so many people play this "best deck" that it becomes a format dominance issue. I don't think this is a major concern, however, because of the skill floor and ceiling. Lots of people won't be good with this deck and, honestly, might dislike Lantern for other reasons. This might artificially keep down its popularity. Second, more worryingly, we could see less experienced players use Lantern at events and draw out rounds to turns, extending every round. We didn't see this at the PT because Lantern pilots were very experienced, but bad Lantern pilots are miserable to play against. This could potentially lead to a logistical, ban-related concern for the deck. It's also a huge MTGO concern, where inexperienced Lantern pilots waste even more time on a clocked match.
If Lantern sees a ban in the future, I believe it will be for the above narrative: good matchups, many players switch to it, many of those Lantern newcomers waste lots of time and cause paper/MTGO logistical issues. We're not there yet (UW Control caused more draws at the PT than Lantern), but I can see this happening as more people realize how much skill they can leverage on it.
EDIT: As for immediate predictions for Monday, I'm at a solid "no bans," a plausible BBE unban, and maaaybe a JTMS or SFM (edit2) unban.