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  • posted a message on Jund
    I don't think that split on discard is something we can agree on. I don't think I've seen less than 4 but I've seen all sorts of splits on it, some heavier on Thoughtseize, some playing more than 5, etc. I think people haven't agreed on the discard, and I'd sooner just slot it as 4x discard.

    I also think there are probably some additional constraints we can put on it. All the lists I've been looking at have at least 1 Abrupt Decay / 1 Fatal Push as well. When I look at the lands too, there's probably a minimum on shocks/fetches/manlands that we could write out. The idea for the core would get us to something a lot more fleshed out until we have a list fully fleshed out.
    Posted in: Midrange
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    The problem is you often don't have a choice. Take Raging Ravine, for instance. The BBE unban meant that there would be a huge influx of people wanting to play Jund. Most people were smart enough to wait on buying Ravines to see what happened with A25. As soon as they announced filter lands, Ravines went up. The recent price increase is a lot, it more than doubled. You just have to play the market.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    Magic prices work on two primary factors at it's core: supply and demand. When you reprint a card in low supply (say Imperial Recruiter), the price drops immediately. Give it a while that everyone has their copy and isn't opening boxes and the price will go back up. It's because the increased supply gets consumed, and then suddenly they're harder to find. Other cards in the decks that play Recruiter are going to go up because their demand increased (hey we can build that deck now) but we can't find the cards any easier: increased demand, constant supply. People aren't dumb, this is just basic economics.

    This product won't do well and everyone knows it. Wizards, I think, is going to make the next product a lot better to compensate. I don't ever see the price of A25 ever being justifiable, cards are going to tank. I'm just going to grab IMA stuff I missed and grab A25 stuff in April after cards have gone down.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    Well the difference between some Evolving Wilds here and there vs every deck playing like 6-10 fetches is a big deal. Look at Modern, almost every deck is playing several. To have to shuffle that much in a game, it's a lot. Shuffling takes a lot of time, and they're usually careful about how frequently you're going to be shuffling. There's never going to be no cards, but cards like Renegade MAp or Traveler's Amulet aren't really constructed cards.

    https://www.reddit.com/r/magicTCG/comments/5mxoxw/maro_doesnt_want_fetchlands_in_postmodern/

    Here's a post I remember from a while ago where people were discussing exactly this.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    Wizards really does hate shuffle effects, and they really don't want fetches in Standard again. Even if they come, Wizards hates the idea of constraining themselves from prior design, i.e. they don't want to constrain themselves to not being able to print lands that have certain characteristics.

    I think Masters sets are going to be a little better but not a lot better. Just enough to make us not upset.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    If I had to guess, I would hedge the prices aren't going up for a while. They've been stable at the current prices for more than 6 months. For what it's worth, the all-time high is only around 25% more than it is now ($5 or so). If you were waiting, you'd be waiting for a long time to try to maximize just a little.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    To the person complaining about $8 BBE: do you remember when Bauble was $40? An $8 uncommon is kind of expensive but not all that unreasonable. At least BBE is contained in one deck, and it's the most expensive deck in the format. Who remembers when cards like Serum Visions and Inquisition of Kozilek were 10+ and in half the format?

    The problem Wizards has is keeping everyone happy. It's not an easy task to do but everyone seems to think it is. Masters can print Goyf every other year and have the price stay the same, but how many cards could they do that with? Fetches and then we don't get the other land cycles we want? If they reprinted fetches every year, when are we getting Zendikar manlands or Scars fastlands? If we reprint fetches every other year, they'll stay relatively where they are now and we won't get one of the other two cycles for four years. If you print Goyf at lower rarity, how are we going to sell sets? Eventually we'd run out of cards that can sell these sets, and then you'd be left with garbage product over and over. I don't disagree that they could throw in more value, but there is a limit on these sets if what they want is to sell them every year.

    I just don't understand what people want. Do they expect $3 packs with Goyf, Snap, Lili, Karn, Emrakul, Chalice, Jace, Bridge, and fetches, all at rare? Plus a dozen uncommons worth $8 each? Then the set is going to release with like en EV of $30 per pack and drive all the prices of these cards into the ground. Next set, what do you want? The same set would be only a fraction of the price. Everyone keeps talking like this is what they want, but is it actually?
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on Jund
    Modern is a very wide format with a lot of playable decks. It rewards people for knowing how to play their deck, so people tend not to switch. At the last PT, we saw Bogles as a whole wasn't good, but then the next weekend it topped a GP. That's just how Modern works, there are a lot of playable decks, and while some generally stand above the rest, those other decks really aren't that bad.

    I do agree with the sentiment not to over-prepare. Unless you're very sure about the expected meta, it's better to keep your deck tuned for an open meta. My LGS weekly gets somewhere between 10 and 45 players (taken over the past few months), so the range of decks is huge. Some people bring the same deck each week, some people bring different decks. But with such a large array of players, it's impossible to predict what you'll play against. At most, I'd say you could probably just make sure you had something for some of the popular matchups, but I wouldn't tune my deck specifically against them.

    I remember playing at the F2F Open at GP Toronto 2017. I tuned my GDS list for exactly one matchup: the mirror. I played it three times and crushed it all three times. It happened to be good against BGx as well, which I played against twice surprisingly. My losses ended up both being to GW Value Town decks, which honestly I would never have prepared for. So as a whole, it's honestly typically better to just not worry.
    Posted in: Midrange
  • posted a message on "What Deck Should I Play" thread
    Nah, they all play it. But honestly, asking for a competitive deck that plays Thoughtseize but not any card over $30 is like asking for a miracle.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on "What Deck Should I Play" thread
    Don't play Abzan without Goyf + Liliana, it's not good. You're cutting the two most powerful cards in the deck.

    BW Tokens is fine, not sure how good it is but it's certainly fine.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [Primer] UW Tron
    Played the deck today (sans Jace, not buying until the reprint drops the price). Didn't go so well.

    Round 1 vs Hollow One:

    Game 1 we both mull to 6, Burning Inquiry leaves me with one colourless land. I stumble on lands and just never get anything going. Game 2 he Ancient Grudges my Signet then plays Blood Moon to keep me off of coloured mana. It wasn't close either game.

    Record: 0-1

    Round 2 vs Turns:

    This matchup is just impossible to win. Gigadrowse is hard to interact with because of Replicate, and they just get to go off when you have no mana. Unless you manage to get Gifts on turn 4, you're just never winning. There's also the fact you're trying to do that through Remand/Cryptic/Relic, so it's not even an easy thing to do. Neither game was close, some combination of Gigadrowse/Exhaustion into a bunch of extra turns sealed the games.

    Record: 0-2

    I dropped at 0-2 with a third round bye. The deck doesn't seem that bad but I just ran poorly, getting a bad matchup or that Burning Inquiry. Probably won't be playing this deck for a while since I'm waiting on some cards for Jund to arrive. I'll probably pick up Jaces in April so maybe the next time I'll play the deck will be in a couple months. Maybe by then the format will be more stable.
    Posted in: Control
  • posted a message on "What Deck Should I Play" thread
    Mardu Pyromancer. It's probably the cheapest deck playing Thoughtseize. GerryT's list played 1 Liliana and a handful of lands that are >$30, but that's as cheap as you're going to get playing Thoughtseize.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on "What Deck Should I Play" thread
    Quote from MCsoul06 »
    Hi guys, I would like to know your opinion in this. Currently I own full affinity and full GDS (I used to play twin so i have all the UR base). But with the recent unbannings I am considering switching all my UR stuff into jund stuff. Is it worth it or should I invest towards UW stuff (I am only missing JAce, colonnade, flooded strand). I am looking forward to play competitive and i see Jund having better results than UWR/UW/GDS.

    GDS is probably going to suffer a bit, but how heavily is up for debate.

    I don't see Jund or UWx as being significantly better than the other. Jund is going to be a tier 1 deck but some UWx deck with Jace will also be tier 1. It's more so a matter of what you want to play and how much you're willing to spend. Jund is typically more expensive than UWx so you should expect it to be more expensive to acquire.

    Right now, you're seeing better results from Jund just because lists are easier to build. We've had BBE Jund before and people largely just took up old lists, slotted whatever new that made sense (Tireless Tracker, new Liliana, K-Command) and called it a day. Sure, there will be some iterations on it, but largely it's easy to put together a working list. With the UWx decks, people are experimenting with Jace because it's a big change for them. With Jace they're largely trying decks they know won't work just to make sure they won't. You can find more information from failure so it's better to start at places more likely to fail. You could very easily just slot Jace into UW Control on top of some of the Gideons or something and call it a day. But since people know that will work, they're instead trying things like 4c Jace + BBE or Sultai to see if they can make it work.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    I've never said I particularly dislike it when prices go down. I just like to play the opposite side because everyone always jumps at "prices should drop". I'm all for better products, in fact I was hoping that this set would be good enough to buy. I just think it's crazy to ever expect them to print at the rate people want (which is to completely destroy the secondary market). That's never going to happen.

    As far as packs go, because there's no mapping of any sort to a price, they might be okay. I can't speak to how that loot box issue is going to turn out though. A lot of other games, like say Hearthstone, let you buy packs and disenchant cards into dust, then use dust to buy cards. They effectively put a price on packs (average is around 100 dust). Since Wizards never buys individual cards, they get around that. I'm also not a lawyer though.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    You HAVE to remember the legal ramifications of all actions they take. Legally, Wizards can't acknowledge the secondary market to a degree like that. If they do, they get into weird gambling laws. Wizards can't expand the reserved list legally because they explicitly said they wouldn't. They're going to get into all sorts of legal issues if they do that they'd rather not.

    As long as the packs have value, people will buy them. That much is clear to me. Modern players have money to spend on cards, they just don't have money to waste on packs where they're effectively gambling with an expected loss. Not once have I heard someone I know say "but the packs are $10", it's always "but the set sucks". Give us something good in the packs and we'll buy it. Nobody even cares if cards tank as long as the value is there.

    The goal from Wizards has always been abundantly clear to me: make the set affordable without ruining the investments of existing players. There's a range in prices for cards that satisfies this, and I think Goyf/Lili/Jace topping the format is about where they want it to be. Sure, maybe cards could come down like 10-20%, but I think prices are within the window that they're willing to accept. They always want to get more people into the game with the caveat that it can't come at the expense of existing players. If you push someone away who's played your game for 5, 10, or even 25 years, you've done something horribly wrong.
    Posted in: Modern
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