The thing is, I’m interested in looking at some results that aren’t quite at the 90% clip, but sadly other numbers aren’t analyzed in his piece, and the hypergeometric calculator by itself seems insufficient due to the lack of considering a mulligan strategy.
He kind of loses me with talk of conditional probability and coding a simulation...
Do you know how to do this kind of thing? I’m interested in looking at color requirements in the 66%-83% range.
Thank you! That’s great feedback. I suck at math, and I just started recently thinking about these issues for my cube, so you setting me straight before I get too carried away in a certain direction is definitely helpful!
Reading this entire thread and getting a glimpse at the recent history has revealed an interesting tidbit:
4-5 years ago Vengevine was revered as an elite, top-echelon 4-drop in green. Nowadays it is hardly mentioned or played. It’s not like there has been printed a bunch of great 4’s to push it out in that time span, so my question is: what else happened in cube development that made people cool on this critter?
I have recently been thinking about asfan in relation to gold cards in a cube, here’s what I came up with:
In a standard 8-man draft, I would like 1 gold card from each guild to be represented per round of packs, so as to offer/entice/reward drafters for being in that specific guild. This means that there are 10 gold cards per 120 cards (8 players x 15 card packs), resulting in a percentage of 8.33% or an asfan of 1.25. This yields the following:
I like the new Control Magic arts more than the original, but having been playing Magic since 97 that old art is just so iconic to me. I'd run a beta copy over any of the newer options.
Funny you say that. I had the new Terese Nielsen Control Magic in there for awhile because I like her art, but it didn’t feel right. Same with a few others, like the new Balance.
I recently decided that I’m going with all unfoiled original set/art now for my whole cube, and for ABU I’ve been getting the Collector’s Edition. The CED Control Magic looks awesome and has that great nostalgic feel to it!!
While I got you on the hook, one more cube math issue:
(Disclaimer: I am closet/self-taught hypergeometric calculator abuser)
I’m interested in color requirements for consistently casting my spells, and I’ve read (and re-read) the following:
https://www.channelfireball.com/articles/frank-analysis-how-many-colored-mana-sources-do-you-need-to-consistently-cast-your-spells/
The thing is, I’m interested in looking at some results that aren’t quite at the 90% clip, but sadly other numbers aren’t analyzed in his piece, and the hypergeometric calculator by itself seems insufficient due to the lack of considering a mulligan strategy.
He kind of loses me with talk of conditional probability and coding a simulation...
Do you know how to do this kind of thing? I’m interested in looking at color requirements in the 66%-83% range.
4-5 years ago Vengevine was revered as an elite, top-echelon 4-drop in green. Nowadays it is hardly mentioned or played. It’s not like there has been printed a bunch of great 4’s to push it out in that time span, so my question is: what else happened in cube development that made people cool on this critter?
In a standard 8-man draft, I would like 1 gold card from each guild to be represented per round of packs, so as to offer/entice/reward drafters for being in that specific guild. This means that there are 10 gold cards per 120 cards (8 players x 15 card packs), resulting in a percentage of 8.33% or an asfan of 1.25. This yields the following:
360 cube = 30 gold cards
450 cube = 37-38 gold cards
540 cube = 45 gold cards
etc...
What do you guys think of this thought process and method, and the resulting numbers?
I wish spell tribal (aka storm) was supported in a non-parasitic way, since spells are fun!!
Timetwister or Treasure Cruise?
Pick 2 of these 3 card draw spells supporting Ux Artifact Ramp and UG creature ramp decks:
Timetwister
Time Spiral
Memory Jar
Custodi Lich or Liliana, Death’s Majesty
Tattermunge Maniac +
Nissa, Voice of Zendikar
OR
Wolfbitten Captive + Sarkhan Vol
???
Funny you say that. I had the new Terese Nielsen Control Magic in there for awhile because I like her art, but it didn’t feel right. Same with a few others, like the new Balance.
I recently decided that I’m going with all unfoiled original set/art now for my whole cube, and for ABU I’ve been getting the Collector’s Edition. The CED Control Magic looks awesome and has that great nostalgic feel to it!!
Depends on what you are looking for with the 4CMC PWs.