Quote from motleyslayer »One of the two stores in my area is running in store events right now, so I can see them running some kind of pre-release for Zendikar Rising. I think that we'll probably get more information in regards to what will happen with these events over the next few weeks, as the events will probably be late September.
I think that'll depend on one thing: schools.
Schools will be back in session in the next five weeks, and given the piss-poor plans to reopen them, outbreaks are inevitable. Despite rhetoric to the contrary, kids aren't immune and can serve as convenient spreaders, and reopening schools without the resources to do so safely just so parents can get back to work and the economy can look better in time for elections later in the fall is doomed to failure. Once that happens, the smartest play would be to go back into lockdown, with nonessential businesses like LGSs being closed again. I don't know if Zendikar events will be able to run, or if they'll be safe to attend if they do. A spike in cases due to schools opening again that doesn't become apparent until October may not trigger lockdowns that disrupt prereleases, but that might even be worse in some ways.
One way or another, though, LGSs are going to get rolled. Either by a new lockdown, or by decreased sales/play. Even if, by some miracle, there are no outbreaks related to schools (though kid-related outbreaks are already happening, and they had similar issues overseas when countries opened schools again), the pandemic isn't going away and a second wave is predicted in the US and Canada.
Quote from Narvuntien »
I live in the capital city and I was talking about that, just the store that closed was in the country.
Federally sure politics is trash, ours isn't great but at least took COVID threat seriously since March. I am suggesting you go to your State and even local governments they are much more responsive to citizens. They need to keep their small business running or they might never recover.
How to stop the spread: 2 months lockdown, everything except supermarkets/pharmacies closed, 2 person groups only, mask orders. I am not sure if the USA constitution allows the closing of state boarders, but there needs to be people checking every single border and giving out 2 week stay at home orders.
Once you stop community spread you can start testing and carefully tracking sporadic outbreaks that will continue. locking down apartments and suburbs following the persons travel history to find where they got it from. Test and Track. just doing testing isn't enough you need to track where they got it from. The testing needs to be free or people won't get it done.
A further 2 months of slowly allowing more businesses to open and larger groups to meet.
The economy is just gone its too late to save it, forget it! save lives instead. You effectively need to hibernate the economy until the emergency is over. No rent, no rates, no power or water bills, no one gets fired but everything is closed. You need to have your local small business to still be there when you get out of lockdown so their bills need to go away until they can open. The economy is dead just go into however much debt is required to solve the problem, doing nothing or doing a huge amount are both bad but only once saves lives.
Leaders in failed states don't care about people, just siphoning off as much value as they can while they still can.
Though, that does impact MtG as people aren't going to have as much disposable income and many will need to prioritize what they spend their limited resources on. Last I checked, the Senate took a recess rather than figure out what to do in regards to supporting people out of work or experiencing a drop in income due to covid. And the impending eviction crisis will compound that with tens of millions at risk of losing their homes. I don't find it illogical that luxury products sales will suffer.
Did MtG sales dip through the spring? Are sales rebounding this summer with things reopening? I've seen conflicting reports (evidently Q1 revenues were up, but covid really only struck in the last slice of that quarter so Q2 sales will be the better datapoint). Q3 may see that uptick with reopens shifting perception, but I do wonder how the unemployment and housing crises may have blunted the MtG sales recovery.
Quote from Card Slinger J »Not sure If anyone's heard about this yet however there were some YouTube videos recently of a group of doctors in front of the U.S. Supreme Court including Stella Immanuel claiming that she had cured COVID-19 in 350 patients at her clinic using a combination of hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin, and zinc and that public health measures such as wearing face masks and social distancing were no longer necessary. Apparently the antimalarial medication hydroxychloroquine had previously had its emergency use authorization for COVID-19 removed by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, which said it had not been proven to be an effective treatment for the virus. Even If it hadn't been proven yet that still doesn't give them the right to silence these doctors from getting the information out there to test whether or not If it is an effective treatment against COVID-19.
Do you think that passes the smell test? Demon sperm, my dude, demon sperm. And whatever scientific arguments they tried to make have been thoroughly debunked.
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This makes more sense.
I don't have a problem devaluing cards by printing them. The health of the game depends on accessibility, and for older formats and commander being too expensive is a bigger issue than LGS availability. Yes, LGS (and online stores like SCG) rely on the secondary market, buying cards at below market value and selling at a profit. The risk of that strategy is that it's speculation. Usually they make money from it, but there is always a risk that cards will drop in value, either due to rotation, the hot deck that needs it going out of fashion, or reprints. The LGS business model needs to adapt to where the secondary market is a supplement to their business model rather than an integral part of it. Not for any moral reason, but because doing so will make their businesses more stable and resilient to market shocks.
Why WotC thinks at home play is the majority: surveys. They do a fair amount of market research to determine how people play the game and what players like and want so they can target products to them. The reason you see premium products and stuff like that is because their market research told them a significant enough portion of the player base wants those products. You see the major commitment to EDH because they found it was the most popular format after 60 card casual, and they built brawl in the hopes of building on that. They know that at home play is still the most common way people engage with magic, with casual and EDH leading that. At home players tend to spend less on cards than FNM warriors, but there are more of them and they tend to buy packs. I think Wizards isnt about to abandon the LGS because they make money from them, tournament engagement increases the amount people spend on magic, and limited moves packs. Getting people who play at home into their local LGS makes wizards money by getting them to spend more. They want both market share and dollars per player, so both groups are important.
As for long term LGS viability, it was a struggle before COVID. Stores in big cities with a younger population do well, as do stores in college towns, because they have a large customer base to draw on. Stores in more rural areas, or smaller suburbs, struggle because there just aren't enough customers. You need a certain concentration of nerd culture involved people to serve for a nerd culture exclusive business to thrive, even when your pretty diversified within that culture and selling comics and games in addition to running DND campaigns Warhammer tourneys and Magic, Yu-Gi-Oh, and Pokemon events. I think a plausible business model for these areas where LGS struggle is to run it as a combination business with some other sort of thing, like a bowling alley or skating rink. Most such places have sizeable party rooms that can host events, and areas that usually have pool tables and arcade games that could be retrofitted as the sales floor for product. Or a diner, I have a couple in my area that have large banquet areas that they use to host gaming clubs during the day and are usually empty at night. And by gaming clubs, I mean just old people playing bridge and stuff. One even has an area thats basically a couple chairs and some decorations that's as large as the sales floor in most LGS and off to the side. Imagine running FNM and having players order their food from you instead of bringing McDonald's. There's potential here, it just requires innovation, something that has been really lacking in the LGS sector. It's still operating under the model that worked in the 90s,
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Oh, hi Mark
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Except Peterson isn't insightful. He's blaming young adults for not moving out of their parents homes as early as their parents did, and ignoring the major financial challenges facing young people their parents didn't face. 20 somethings don't live with their parents because they want to, or because of Peter Pan syndrome, they do so because they start adult life in a financial hole due to college tuition, and use the money they save living at home to start working on the principle and saving for a house, which costs a lot more in today's dollars than it did when Peterson was in his 20s. Its simply good finances to live at home during their 20s instead of throwing money away into rent. Most of the people who do this have college debt because their parents didn't pay their tuition. Peterson types look down on these people but not on people whose parents paid their tuition, allowing them to graduate debt free and put their post college earnings directly into rent while also being able to save for home ownership.
I get the appeal of Peterson. Its mostly the same as any other hack life coach. When people are in a rough place and unsure of themselves, he's a voice giving simple answers. He packages this in an archaic worldview and a get tough message. Sometimes sucking it up and making sacrifices is the only way to get by when life hands you a crap sandwich, but Peterson plays that as a virtue and the right way to live generally instead of a necessary evil to survive in the face of adversity. He supports the very systems that cause the problems he claims to solve for people (and makes worse long term, like encouraging 20 somethings to make sacrifices to move out and pay rent as soon as possible which delays actually being able to own a home versus living at home and saving up buy a house). He fetishizes austerity and a mythical spartan masculinity that is as immature as overindulgent hedonism. Peter Pan syndrome is an old hot take that was simply a repackaging of the same complaint old curmudgeons have had about the next generation since Plato (literally, Plato made the same complaints). Its not real, its just old people railing against the young because they have an idealized view of their own life narrative and think the next gen aren't living up to it. Its why boomers rail against Millenials being lazy or profligate when they actually work more hours, are more productive, and more austere in their lifestyles than boomers were at the same age. You know The Peter Pan Syndrome book you reference was written in the early 80s, about Peterson's generation (Boomers), and now Peterson (and Boomers more generally) are crying about the same wolf with Millenials and Z. Its garbage pop psychology that serves to make the old feel superior to the young and any young that listen to it feel ashamed for being human.
Do not feel bad about liking magic, nor liking playing at an LGS. Don't think that liking games or anything considered "childish", and don't be ashamed about asking for help and support. Growing up isn't about posturing or signaling, its about being responsible. That's it. If people can rely on you, and you can basically take care of yourself, that's it. And taking care of yourself can mean understanding when you need help or support and having the humility to accept it. It also means self care, and that's different for everyone. For a lot of us here, playing some magic is self care. For others, its meditation, or watching the game, or going to church, or sitting around watching cartoons all weekend every once in awhile. And there's nothing wrong with that.
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You're verging into conspiracy theory thinking here. So you're saying its not that COVID is the new normal, its that somehow people will make the jump in logic that they should be afraid of bio terrorism. First, that wasn't what you were saying before, nor does it support your previous arguments, so nice try. Second, to jump from COVID to fears of bio terrorism would require a paranoid, ill informed, extremely risk averse mindset that would lead to failed businesses regardless of how rosy the economic outlook is, so again, the only people who would be kept from opening an LGS due to bio terror fears are people who aren't fit to run a successful business anyway, so at least they won't be throwing their money away.
Third, and this is where I'll go slightly off topic, but no terrorist, government, mad scientist, or super villain would ever try to weaponize COVID-19, because COVID-19 sucks balls as a bio weapon. Bio weapons are most useful in causing terror in a target population or as an area of denial weapon. COVID-19 lacks the qualities that make it effective for these roles, or any bio warfare role. First, it simply isn't deadly enough. A 1% fatality rate is high enough to necessitate the sort of government reaction it has, as if we tried to get herd immunity just by infecting people the US would see about 35 million deaths, but its far too low to be effective as a bio weapon. You are going to do more damage, more reliably, with conventional weapons. Second, Its slow as hell. It takes 2 weeks for symptoms to show, and bio weapons need to act quickly for the desired effect. Third, it spreads too easily. Effective bio weapons kill your enemies but don't come back on you. For all the reasons COVID-19 has proven uniquely difficult to contain it would also prove a poor choice for bio weapon, as any state or group that carries out a successful attack is going to be sure it will hit them as well, possibly even worse than the target. Fourth, it is most dangerous to the elderly, while bio weapons are most effective, both in war and as terrorism, when they hit the young, specifically fighting age adults, at least as hard. The death rate among the younger generations is significantly less than among older populations, and the people most likely to be soldiers (young and in good health) are also most likely to not only survive COVID, but to have mild or no symptoms. Lastly, there a plenty of diseases that have been around for years that would make far superior bio weapons both for terrorism and warfare, including COVID's relatives SARS and MERS. Biological weapons are expensive and unwieldy, which is why they have rarely been used, and most of the time where used before the existence of Germ Theory. There are just too many easier, cheaper, more controllable, and more reliable ways to kill people, and even among bio weapons COVID-19 wouldn't make the cut.
Rather than letting your mind run wild with worst case scenarios that aren't based on fact, take a breath and educate yourself. And Jordan Peterson repackaging decades old self help pablum doesn't count.
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I mean, the cards still exist, he already got paid, why can't you run them? They aren't themselves offensive. He's just not going to get any future work.
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I don't like this current culture of division. Healing is in order, I hope I haven't harmed with my words here. Can we at least find that common ground of "agreeing to disagree"? [/quote]
Here's the problem with that sentiment when applied to this situation: what Theresa was doing was actively feeding a culture of division. There is no middle ground on anti semitism. There is no middle ground on bigotry. There is no middle ground on people like Alex Jones. You either support that crap, or you don't. Wizards even tried to find a "middle ground", it would have started commissioning her again if she just stopped publicly supporting that crap. She couldn't. She continued to support some of the most extreme voices out there.
An open, diverse, and tolerant society where it is possible to agree to disagree without hating each other for it can not afford to tolerate the kind of crap she was, and is, supporting, because that crap is directly opposed to an open, diverse, and tolerant society where we can agree to disagree. Healing cannot happen while those views are accepted and tolerated, because those people will continue to sabotage any attempt at healing. Because healing is not what they want. They want division. They want those they disagree with silenced. They want groups of people harmed. They don't want a plurality of viewpoints to exist, they want only their viewpoint to dominate.
Despite what people with a persecution complex like mystic may assert, this isn't about Democrats vs republicans. There's plenty of room at the party of ideas for conservatives and republicans, and to equate bigotry and the most extreme far right voices with republicans, as mystic did, is slanderous to republicans. Alex Jones does draw some of the most extreme republicans, but also many libertarians and even some extreme leftists. There are leftist anti semites. Ice Cube is rightly getting crapped on for his bizarre anti semitism (though I still haven't figured out what that ******* black cube is supposed to mean). There's also a difference between being transphobic and not being pro trans. Not wanting to have sex with a trans woman isn't transphobic, believing that your birth sex is your gender isn't transphobic, repeatedly declaring that trans women aren't women and it's all mental illness IS. The difference there is it goes beyond your personal beliefs into attacking trans people. Criticism of Israel for it's policies isn't anti semitism, criticism of Israel based on anti Jewish sentiment or stereotypes is, like the tweet from Cynthia McKinney (a former liberal Democrat btw who rightly has been shunned within the party for anti semitism, before becoming a green and then most recently a libertarian) that Theresa like was doing. Louis Farrakhan is guy that does a lot of good work in the black community, but he's a raging antisemite that is as vile as anything on the right in that regard, so when a Democrat occasionally rubs elbows with him due to his work in the black community they rightly catch heat for ignoring his hatred of Jews. Its usually republicans who point that out, and the absolutely should.