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  • posted a message on Incomplete Vertical Cycles
    Ironically, those are both complete nonbo's with Misers' Cage, which is too bad, because the Cage is rare.
    Posted in: Magic General
  • posted a message on Snapcaster Mage - Sell or Hold ?
    Snapcaster isn't tied to Innistrad, it's tied to the flashback ability. Flashback isn't evergreen, so they can only reprint Snapcaster in a block if flashback returns, which is probably several years off.
    Posted in: Market Street Café
  • posted a message on [MM2] Modern Masters 2
    Quote from Callahan09 »
    I just wanted to jump in here and say that I don't think 3 mythics are guaranteed. 3 mythics are what you should receive on average. But if every single box contained at least 3 mythics... wouldn't that mean that every single box MUST contain 3 (exactly 3) mythics? Since the print run demands that there be an exact mean of 3 mythics per box, if every box had at least 3, then every box must also have at MOST 3.

    It would be roughly 2.975 mythics per box, not 3. The print run produces exactly 15 mythics per 121 boosters, which is just slightly under three per box.

    If you opened 121 perfectly-collated boxes, 118 of them would have three mythics and the other 3 would have two.
    Posted in: The Rumor Mill
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Miscut, Misprint, Foreign, Foil &Other Oddities Price Thread.
    Are empty Beta starter decks worth anything? I happened upon a stack of Unlimited/Revised cards about a month ago, and the container they came in also held a whole bunch of empty Beta, Unlimited, and Revised starter decks, most of which had the rulebooks included. No Beta cards, just the boxes.
    Posted in: Market Street Café
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Trade Evaluation -- Pile A versus B
    Quote from eflin »
    Quote from Auja Windur »
    I assume that in Modern Masters 2015, each Rare (R) will be twice as common as each Mythic Rare (MR). Maybe it is too simple and naive to conclude that popular MRs will drop by half of what popular Rs would drop by, either in absolute value or proportional value.


    Ignoring foils for now... 53 rares and 15 mythics... with mythics being in 1 of 8 packs and rares in 7 of 8. So on average you need to open 120 packs to get one of each mythic... in which you get 105 rares or roughly 2 of each rare. So yeah... 2 to 1 is a good estimate.


    For future reference, "1 in 8 mythics/7 in 8 rares" is the estimate and "2 of each rare for 1 of each mythic" is the exact figure. Large sets have 53 rares because that's how many it takes to fill the 121-card printing sheets after you reserve 15 slots for the mythics.
    Posted in: Market Street Café
  • posted a message on Unprinted Tokens?
    I think I've got one - the 1/1 Citizen token, which only exists on MTGO as far as I can tell, is referenced on Icatian Crier, Icatian Town, and Sarpadian Empires vol VII.
    Posted in: Magic General
  • posted a message on Best Card in terms of Financial Stability in the next years to come
    Quote from Sam I am »
    Every item on that list except 1 depends on some charismatic of the meta to be present in order for it to be useful, and that 1 is the dual lands.

    Force of will is good against fast combo, but against other archetypes, it's actually not that great. People can main board it, because it's still not dead against aggro and attrition decks, but if something happens to fast combo, it will go out of favor


    You're also betting that Force of Will never gets reprinted. Unlike most of that list, Force of Will isn't actually on the Reserve List.

    Duals are a very good choice, but I don't believe they're entirely risk-free. The problem with dual lands is that while they can't be reprinted, it's entirely possible that Wizards will print something that's either close enough or actually *better* than the duals to flood the casual market. It's not likely, but with the overwhelming amount of demand there would be for something like that, I'd say the chance of Wizards caving in on that particular cash grab is non-zero.

    From his list, I'd go with Time Walk, although I think I'd personally prefer a Mox. The status provided by being a part of the Power Nine is something that can never be taken away by any sort of reprint.
    Posted in: Magic General
  • posted a message on The Running Tally of Dragons of Tarkir [Updated: 5/1]
    Quote from Aether7 »

    Prerelease promo
    Event deck
    DTK set
    Game day promo

    Given that over half of all rares get printed as pre-release foils anymore, I'm not sure that has much of an effect.
    Posted in: Market Street Café Archive
  • posted a message on Controversey at Pro Tour Dragons of Tarkir
    Quote from thg »
    Chapin was not in good form in this match. A few turns earlier, with his hands appearing to be shaking, he played a temple and scryed, putting a card on the bottom (could anyone tell what that card was?). He then cast Read The Bones and skipped the scry to put the top 2 cards directly in his hand. The two cards were Elspeth and a land. He then played the land (his second of the turn) and cast Elspeth. Did anyone else notice his hands shaking? He looked nervous to me.

    Patrick Chapin's hands shake 100% of the time. I forget exactly why, but it's some sort of physical condition. It's certainly not a tell.
    Posted in: Magic General
  • posted a message on The Running Tally of Dragons of Tarkir [Updated: 5/1]
    These are the cards worth more than a buck at SCG prices:

    Thunderbreak Regent ($10.85 and sold out)
    Surrak the Hunt Caller ($4.55)
    Outpost Siege ($3.49)
    Temple of Abandon ($1.75)
    Crater's Claws ($1.16)
    Mistcutter Hydra ($1.05)

    At SCG prices, Thunderbreak Regent would have to be worth $12.99 to make the Event Deck worth the $24.99 MSRP if we ignore everything less than a buck.
    Posted in: Market Street Café Archive
  • posted a message on Khans of Tarkir Block- Mythic Distribution
    6-8 mythics is far too high. Khans and Dragons both have (non-foil) mythics in 12.39% of all booster packs, slightly under Fate Reforged's 12.5%. Given that booster boxes have 36 packs each, this puts the expected number of mythics in a box at just under 4.5 for Khans and Dragons (and exactly 4.5 for Fate Reforged).

    What you're seeing for Dragons is the expected number; you're either misremembering the prior two sets or were extremely lucky.
    Posted in: Magic General
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Huge Gainers
    Quote from S.M. »
    If they reprint him in Modern Masters II I wonder how they'll make a cycle of the hybrid 3cc work out.


    Looking at MMI, they won't be holding themselves to a strict cycle. MMI had 21 multicolored cards - every color combination had one gold card and one hybrid card save BR (which got two hybrids) and UR (which got two gold cards), plus Progenitus. If they couldn't find a BR gold card they wanted more than Demigod of Revenge last time, who's to say they don't do the same with Fulminator Mage this time?
    Posted in: Market Street Café Archive
  • posted a message on Collectors! What binder do you use?
    I collect complete sets, and was using cheap 3-ring binders I picked up at Wal-Mart, but after discovering that the cards on the bottom row were all getting bent, I started switching to these. They're not great, but I've been keeping an eye on them, and nothing's gotten damaged yet. I'd probably try Ultra-Pros instead, but since these are about half the price at my LCS ($11 vs $20), the cheapskate in me wins out every time.
    Posted in: Magic General
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Huge Gainers
    Quote from DrewReaLee »

    Also Lily is dropping slowly, she didn't really make a huge splash in the Top 8 as all the Abzan decks didn't make it past the quarterfinals.


    There were exactly two "true" Abzan decks in the top 8, and they played each other in the quarterfinals, so I'm pretty sure that statement is wrong.
    Posted in: Market Street Café Archive
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Legacy Huge Gainers
    Mono-Blue Belcher. It has exactly one land, but when that one land is Academy, it's worth it.
    Posted in: Market Street Café Archive
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