It took me 15-20 hours of searching, but I found boxes for $225 each and bought a pair. I won't tell you where I got them, but I will tell you it's a local game shop in a smallish community in a different country than I live. They don't ship, and I'm getting an online friend to mail them to me. They only had a couple of boxes left after I ordered.
All of the local shops where I'm from are selling these for $300 CDN (plus tax, so $340), first come, first served, regardless of loyalty. I never buy cards online (until now), but my local shops are ALL the type to sell FTV sets for $100+. The local shop I've spent thousands of dollars at wouldn't let me pre-order a box of Modern Masters, and I really don't feel bad about it. Well, I kinda do, but I also feel bad about stepping on ants.
I am very excited to draft these with friends, which is exactly what I'll do. A lot of people would resell them, but I really play this game to play it.
300 CAD... so US$240 plus tax? US$225 for two boxes doesn't really save you a ton when you factor in shipping.
I haven't had much luck selling my Zendikar Fetches so far, at least not at the prices I'm hoping for (which are a hair above TCGlow
I'm thinking I might be better off trading them for other cards that will hopefully be stable or increase in price as time goes on.
Would love to get your thoughts on what to trade for, but I'm thinking these...
Shocklands
KTK Fetches
Legacy staples like FOW?
What else do you think I should trade for?
I think you shouldn't have been greedy and should have sold them for $432, but that's just me.
I wasn't greedy. The guy who was going to buy them from me got a call from his workplace telling he had been laid off like an hour after we agreed to a sale. Seems to happen a lot, someone will agree to buy some of my fetches and then suddenly lose their job, wife spends an arm and a leg shopping, bought a wedding ring or something else, found out they didn't have enough in their Paypal. This is happening to me with a lot of things, not just Fetchlands and MTG cards.
Also, I'm considering just keeping them like Tykimeister did...idk. Maybe they'll go back up to where they were a few months ago.
That's aggravating.
I'd try and sell them for slightly less than TCG Low. Have you tried Facebook groups? Because when they get reprinted, they will crash HARD.
Mr.C, in each of your examples, the period of price decrease was preceded by a large jump in price. This jump corresponded to the spike in Modern staples and subsequent trading up into reserved cards. Everyone expected the price to correct itself and slowly drop back down, which the graphs show. I don't agree with your extrapolation that this downward trend will continue indefinitely. In fact I'm predicting another bump upwards soon as people again trade their inflated Modern staples into reserved stuff before MM2 spoiler season starts. Only time will tell.
Which inflated Modern staples that you can trade into Legacy stuff?
You lost me at "recent gains to reserve list cards". Have you seen the price history graphs lately? I'll link to some at the end of the post.
The only things 'poised to rise' are graded Alpha, Beta and Arabian Nights cards. Anything else is very likely on the way down. Why? Because there's a lot of it, and with SCG greatly reducing Legacy opens, all signs point to a slow devaluing of stuff.
Of course, things won't crash, but if you go to MTGGoldfish or MTGStocks, you can clearly see that pretty much all Legacy staples on the Reserve List are on a downtrend, with an average of 20% price reduction since their peak in mid-March 2014. Some have fallen very little (Volcanic Island), others have cratered (Wasteland). Nevertheless, there has been a drop.
Even things that are deemed highly collectible, such as mint Summer cards, have failed to meet expectations in auctions. A Sengir Vampire, for example, recently only fetched $400 or so on an open auction. Currently, only the highest graded (BGS 9.5/10, and depending on the card, BGS 9/PSA 10) are demanding substantial premiums.
Additionally, when you look at completed auctions on eBay, prices are clearly on a downswing. Usually, summer (the season) is considered the 'slow season' for Magic sales and prices. Activity starts picking up again with the release of the fall set, and continues though winter. However, looking at our two Legacy examples (Volc and Waste), they have also clearly fallen. Volcs are closing for around $200, with SP ones around $150. Wastelands are hovering at $50, down from an eBay high of about $90.
Therefore, I think that if you want to continue to 'invest' in MtG, I'd look towards graded, mint or near mint condition cards. That also protects you against counterfeiting, which, if you've been paying attention, is slowly getting better and better.
It doesn't work like that. Clearly scammer.
300 CAD... so US$240 plus tax? US$225 for two boxes doesn't really save you a ton when you factor in shipping.
That's aggravating.
I'd try and sell them for slightly less than TCG Low. Have you tried Facebook groups? Because when they get reprinted, they will crash HARD.
I think you shouldn't have been greedy and should have sold them for $432, but that's just me.
Which inflated Modern staples that you can trade into Legacy stuff?
The only things 'poised to rise' are graded Alpha, Beta and Arabian Nights cards. Anything else is very likely on the way down. Why? Because there's a lot of it, and with SCG greatly reducing Legacy opens, all signs point to a slow devaluing of stuff.
Of course, things won't crash, but if you go to MTGGoldfish or MTGStocks, you can clearly see that pretty much all Legacy staples on the Reserve List are on a downtrend, with an average of 20% price reduction since their peak in mid-March 2014. Some have fallen very little (Volcanic Island), others have cratered (Wasteland). Nevertheless, there has been a drop.
Even things that are deemed highly collectible, such as mint Summer cards, have failed to meet expectations in auctions. A Sengir Vampire, for example, recently only fetched $400 or so on an open auction. Currently, only the highest graded (BGS 9.5/10, and depending on the card, BGS 9/PSA 10) are demanding substantial premiums.
Additionally, when you look at completed auctions on eBay, prices are clearly on a downswing. Usually, summer (the season) is considered the 'slow season' for Magic sales and prices. Activity starts picking up again with the release of the fall set, and continues though winter. However, looking at our two Legacy examples (Volc and Waste), they have also clearly fallen. Volcs are closing for around $200, with SP ones around $150. Wastelands are hovering at $50, down from an eBay high of about $90.
Therefore, I think that if you want to continue to 'invest' in MtG, I'd look towards graded, mint or near mint condition cards. That also protects you against counterfeiting, which, if you've been paying attention, is slowly getting better and better.
- ~ -
Losers
Moat:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Legends&card=Moat
Underground Sea:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Revised Edition&card=Underground Sea
Volcanic Island:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Revised Edition&card=Volcanic Island
Tundra:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Revised Edition&card=Tundra
Tropical Island:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Revised Edition&card=Tropical Island
Lion's Eye Diamond:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Mirage&card=Lion's Eye Diamond
Savannah:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Revised Edition&card=Savannah
Scrubland:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Revised Edition&card=Scrubland
Wasteland:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Tempest&card=Wasteland
- ~ -
Winners:
Chains of Mephistopheles:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Legends&card=Chains of Mephistopheles
Gaea's Cradle:
http://www.mtgindex.com/?set=Urza's Saga&card=Gaea's Cradle
- ~ -
That really, really doesn't tell me "invest in Reserved List cards"
You sure that's the detective's name?
Ahhh, that explains it. It was much easier to read previously, though, fwiw!